arXiv AI

KReF: Training-Free Retrieval for Long-Term Time-Series Forecasting and Predictive Uncertainty

arXiv:2608. 06748v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic long-term time-series forecasting commonly relies on trained models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Stationarity-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 04135v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting relies on historical patterns, but real-world series often exhibit non-stationarity and regime shifts that challenge fully parametric forecasters.

By Shiqiao Zhou, Holger Sch\"oner, Zipeng Wu, Edouard Fouch\'e, IAG Wilson, Shuo Wang
arXiv AI
Aug 12

Retrieval-Corrected Conformal Prediction for Time Series

arXiv:2608. 10553v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction intervals for fixed forecasters, but its standard calibration procedure is often inefficient for time series data, where forecast errors are temporally dependent and change across time and operating conditions.

By Sangjin Jin, Kangmin Kim, Junhyeong Lee, Yongjae Lee
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Spectral Retrieval-Augmented Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 19412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting leverages historical patterns to predict future values, but traditional methods face challenges when dealing with complex, non-stationary patterns that are difficult to memorize during training.

By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Hung Le
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 11

Retrieval-Corrected Conformal Prediction for Time Series

Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction intervals for fixed forecasters, but its standard calibration procedure is often inefficient for time series data, where forecast errors are temporally dependent and change across time and operating conditions. Recent time series CP methods improve local calibration using recent, weighted, or localized residuals.

arXiv AI
Jun 16

TS-Memory: Plug-and-Play Memory for Time Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2602. 11550v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) achieve strong zero-shot forecasting through large-scale pre-training, but adapting them to downstream domains under distribution shift remains challenging.

By Sisuo Lyu, Siru Zhong, Tiegang Chen, Weilin Ruan, Qingxiang Liu, Taiqiang Lv, Qingsong Wen, Raymond Chi-Wing Wong, Yuxuan Liang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Align-RAG: Alignment Is All You Need for TSFM In-Context Learning

arXiv:2608. 05571v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval-augmented forecasting promises to adapt frozen Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) to new domains without fine-tuning, but recent methods typically rely on learned fusion modules, i.

By Mohammad Asadi, Soheil Hor, Bardiya Akhbari, Jack W. O'Sullivan, Tahoura Nedaee, Layne C. Price, Raviteja Anantha, Euan Ashley, Ehsan Adeli
arXiv AI
Jun 16

FlowState: Sampling-Rate-Equivariant Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2508. 05287v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, lack adaptability to different sampling rates, struggle with generalization across varying context and target lengths, and are computationally inefficient.

By Lars Graf, Thomas Ortner, Stanis{\l}aw Wo\'zniak, Angeliki Pantazi