arXiv AI By Yu Sun, Yuan Chang, Xiaohou Shi, Yan Sun

TFGformer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Time-Frequency Graph Learning and Covariate Fusion

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arXiv:2607. 29459v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large-scale multivariate time series from heterogeneous IoT sensors demand accurate long-term forecasting for resource scheduling and predictive maintenance.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Spectral Retrieval-Augmented Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 19412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting leverages historical patterns to predict future values, but traditional methods face challenges when dealing with complex, non-stationary patterns that are difficult to memorize during training.

By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Hung Le
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Stationarity-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 04135v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting relies on historical patterns, but real-world series often exhibit non-stationarity and regime shifts that challenge fully parametric forecasters.

By Shiqiao Zhou, Holger Sch\"oner, Zipeng Wu, Edouard Fouch\'e, IAG Wilson, Shuo Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

Which Histories Matter for Time Series Forecasting? Learning Predictive Relevance with Future Supervision

The paper investigates which historical examples are most useful for time‑series forecasting by defining predictive relevance as the expected future utility conditioned on inference‑time information. It introduces a two‑stage approach: a normalized‑pattern retriever generates a coarse candidate set, and a lightweight MLP reranks these candidates using future‑supervised relevance while keeping inference strictly past‑only. Experiments on six benchmarks show that this reranker improves pattern retrieval and outperforms a matched‑protocol baseline, revealing that historical relevance is structured, domain‑dependent, and not governed by a single universal retrieval rule.

By Yong-Hoon Choi, Kwang-Hyun Park, Youngjin Cho