Proper Scoring Rules for Right-Censored Survival Data
arXiv:2606. 06393v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts.
arXiv:2212. 05260v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Proper scoring rules encourage probabilistic predictions that match the true underlying distribution and are central to model evaluation, with increasing relevance in automated workflows such as AutoML.
arXiv:2606. 06393v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts.
Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts. However, in the presence of right censoring, the event time is only partially observed, rendering conventional scoring rules inapplicable in their standard form.
arXiv:2506. 02075v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The current state of evaluation in survival analysis is plagued by the persistent use of evaluation metrics in ways that are misaligned with the stated modeling objective.
arXiv:2607. 10466v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival models can model time-to-event outcomes using partially observed data.
arXiv:2608. 04025v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Whole-slide survival models commonly provide risk rankings without calibrated statements about individual event times.
arXiv:2502. 19460v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Dependent censoring occurs when the event time and censoring time are not conditionally independent given the observed covariates.
arXiv:2606. 03689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival Analysis (SA) is a statistical framework that models the time span until some event of interest occurs.
arXiv:2607. 19526v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: "Stop Chasing the C-index when Evaluating Survival Analysis Models" (ICML 2026, Spotlight) argued normatively, on synthetic data, that evaluating survival models by discrimination alone, i.
arXiv:2606. 04564v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have made rapid progress in standard classification and regression, but time-to-event survival prediction tasks have remained largely untouched.
arXiv:2510. 04421v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Survival analysis provides statistical methods to model the time until an event occurs.
arXiv:2608. 16864v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In survival analysis the way covariates act on the risk of an event often differs between early and late failure times, yet hazard- and mean-based summaries collapse this variation into a single number.
arXiv:2606. 18281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) are central to treatment decision-making in personalized medicine.