arXiv Machine Learning

SurvPFN: Towards Foundation Models for Survival Predictions

arXiv:2606. 04564v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have made rapid progress in standard classification and regression, but time-to-event survival prediction tasks have remained largely untouched.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Tabular Foundation Models Can Do Survival Analysis

arXiv:2601. 22259v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end before the event of interest occurs.

By Da In Kim, Wei Siang Lai, Kelly W. Zhang
arXiv AI
Sep 7

Adaptation Interfaces for In-Context Tabular Foundation Models in Time-to-Event Prediction

The paper explores how to adapt tabular foundation models (TabFMs) for censored time‑to‑event prediction by linking them with CoxPH and DeepHit and revising training procedures. It evaluates zero‑shot, classification‑based fine‑tuning, and survival‑head adaptations across 74 single‑risk and 4 competing‑risk datasets, finding that zero‑shot works best on small datasets while supervised adaptation excels as data grows. The study shows that the choice of adaptation interface and data regime critically influences TabFM transfer performance.

By Minh-Khoi Pham, Luca Cotugno, Dan Cernei, Alina Sirbu, Stefano Masi, Giuseppe Prencipe, Alessandro Pingitore, Patrizia Landi, Working Group on Uric Acid, Cardiovascular Risk of the Italian Society of Hypertension, Tai Tan Mai, Martin Crane, Marija Bezbradica
arXiv Computation and Language
3d ago

Large Language Models are Approximate Survival Estimators

arXiv:2609.38181v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival analysis estimates time-to-event outcomes from patient covariates and is widely used for medical risk assessment. Patients seeking prognostic...

By Juan M Zambrano Chaves, Peniel Argaw, Risa Ueno, Carlo Bifulco, Kristina Young, Rom Leidner, Tristan Naumann, Hoifung Poon
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 4

Proper Scoring Rules for Right-Censored Survival Data

Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts. However, in the presence of right censoring, the event time is only partially observed, rendering conventional scoring rules inapplicable in their standard form.