arXiv:2212. 05260v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Proper scoring rules encourage probabilistic predictions that match the true underlying distribution and are central to model evaluation, with increasing relevance in automated workflows such as AutoML.
By John Zobolas, Raphael Sonabend, Riccardo De Bin, Johannes Piller, Philipp Kopper, Lukas Burk, Andreas Bender
arXiv:2606. 02671v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine learning predictors have become essential tools for guiding automated decision making.
By Itai Zilberstein, Ioannis Anagnostides, Tuomas Sandholm
arXiv:2607. 19526v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: "Stop Chasing the C-index when Evaluating Survival Analysis Models" (ICML 2026, Spotlight) argued normatively, on synthetic data, that evaluating survival models by discrimination alone, i.
By Rafael da Silva, Danilo Alvares
arXiv:2608. 16594v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Cancer survival prediction supports treatment planning, risk stratification, and follow-up management.
By Tianqi Xiang, Qixiang Zhang, Xinpeng Ding, Yi Li, Xiaomeng Li
arXiv:2607. 16802v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep survival models are evaluated almost exclusively by the concordance index (C-index), yet they are commonly trained using likelihood objectives such as the Cox partial likelihood, discrete-time negative log-likelihood, and DeepHit likelihood.
By Meixu Chen, Kai Wang, Jing Wang
arXiv:2606. 06393v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Proper scoring rules provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the training and evaluation of probabilistic forecasts.
By Jef Jonkers, Glenn Van Wallendael, Luc Duchateau, Sofie Van Hoecke