arXiv AI

GroupSegment-SHAP: Shapley Value Explanations with Group-Segment Players for Multivariate Time Series

GroupSegment-SHAP (GS‑SHAP) introduces explanatory units called group‑segment players that capture cross‑variable dependence and distribution shifts over time in multivariate time‑series models. By attributing Shapley values to these units, GS‑SHAP preserves joint structural signals that traditional time‑series SHAP variants fragment. Experiments on human activity recognition, power‑system forecasting, medical signal analysis, and financial time series show that GS‑SHAP improves deletion‑based faithfulness by about 1.7× and reduces runtime by roughly 40% compared to existing baselines, while a financial case study demonstrates its ability to reveal interpretable multivariate‑temporal interactions during high‑volatility periods.

arXiv AI
Jun 2

Estimating Mutual Information between Time Series and Temporal Event Sequences Across Diverse Analysis Tasks

arXiv:2606. 01602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Pairwise dependence measures such as correlation and causality are fundamental to temporal data mining, yet there is still no principled and robust way to quantify dependence between heterogeneous data types, especially between continuous time series and discrete temporal event sequences.

By Haoji Hu, Huaqing Mao, Yijun Lin, Xiaowei Jia, Jinwei Zhou, Minoh Jeong, Yao-Yi Chiang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

FinTSB: A Comprehensive and Practical Benchmark for Financial Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2502. 18834v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies.

By Yifan Hu, Yuante Li, Peiyuan Liu, Yuxia Zhu, Naiqi Li, Tao Dai, Shu-tao Xia, Dawei Cheng, Changjun Jiang