arXiv Machine Learning By Ujjwala Vadrevu

SHARC: SHAP-Based Interpretability in Machine Learning Risk Models for Regulatory Capital under ICAAP and CCAR

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2607. 05484v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The adoption of non-parametric machine learning models for regulatory capital estimation introduces a fundamental governance challenge: the inability to explain model outputs in a manner auditable by supervisory bodies.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Forward-Looking Stress Testing Under Macro Scenarios: Stable SVaR Estimation Using a Hybrid GPR-HS Framework with SACS

arXiv:2606. 07575v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Regulatory stress testing frameworks, including the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) and the Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP), require robust Stressed Value-at-Risk (SVaR) estimation under forward-looking macroeconomic scenarios.

By Ujjwala Vadrevu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Machine Learning and the Random Walk Puzzle: Forecasting the CAD/USD Exchange Rate with Expanding Window Evaluation and SHAP Interpretability

arXiv:2606. 15058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study examines whether machine learning (ML) models can outperform the naive random walk benchmark in forecasting the monthly USD/CAD exchange rate.

By Louis Agyekum, Edmund Fosu Agyemang, Obu-Amoah Ampomah, Kofi Acheampong, Emmanuel Boadi, Priscilla Yaa Amakye, Fafa Shalom Tchorly, Enock Adu Bonsu, Eric Nyarko
arXiv AI
Jun 3

Auditable Climate Risk Intelligence from Fragmented ESG Data: Deterministic Orchestration and Imbalance-Aware Learning for Scope 1-3 Validation

arXiv:2606. 02604v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: ESG and climate risk data remain fragmented across heterogeneous Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 reporting environments, while conventional validation pipelines lack provenance aware auditability, hidden drift detection, and reproducibility oriented governance.

By Karan Sehgal, Khawar Naveed Bhatti