arXiv Machine Learning

When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 01082v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal point-process models must often generalise across space when local event histories are sparse.

arXiv AI
Aug 5

CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Trio: Learning Time-Series Forecasting with Temporal-Spatial-Sample Attention and Structural Causal Priors

arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.

By Tao Chen, Yexu Zhou, Zhi Gong, Hengwei He, Hongda Li, Zhewei Chen, Dongjing Wang, Xin Zhang, Decheng Liu, Chunlei Peng, Zheng Chen, Wenyue Ding
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

ChronoSSM: Training for Temporally Aware Representations in Autoregressive State Space Models

arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.

By Adrien Schoen, Nachiketa Ratnakar Patil, Arjun Bhagoji, Francesco Bronzino