arXiv Machine Learning

Virtual Temperature Sensors in Power Transformers Using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

arXiv:2608. 13260v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate modeling and forecasting of power transformer thermal behavior are critical for reliability, asset lifetime, and optimized power system operation.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.

By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 11

XGBoost "is all you need": the case of forecasting transmitted heat energy in District Heating Systems

This paper presents a comparative study of two distinct approaches, XGBoost and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), for forecasting transmitted heat energy in District Heating Systems (DHS). The objective is to explore scenarios in which conventional ML algorithms demonstrate better performance over deep learning networks in time series forecasting and the associated benefits in terms of computational cost and environmental impact.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Parameter estimation for land-surface models using Neural Physics

arXiv:2505. 02979v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose a novel inverse-modelling approach that estimates the parameters of a simple land-surface model (LSM) by assimilating data into a differentiable, physics-based forward model formulated using convolutional operations.

By Ruiyue Huang, Claire E. Heaney, Maarten van Reeuwijk
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

A Benchmark for Electrical Load Forecasting Across Grid Levels: Time-Series Transformers Outperform Established Methods

arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.

By Matthias Hertel, Sebastian P\"utz, Jonathan Kolar, Benjamin Sch\"afer, Ralf Mikut, Veit Hagenmeyer
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

A panoramic aerodynamic performance prediction method for turbomachinery cascades using transformer-enhanced neural operator

The paper introduces a panoramic aerodynamic performance prediction framework for turbomachinery cascades that first predicts basic Navier-Stokes parameters (temperature, pressure, density) and then derives key turbine stage performance metrics. A transformer‑enhanced neural operator (TNO) is trained on Rotor 37 blades to accurately predict transonic compressor blade performance, outperforming state‑of‑the‑art deep learning operators like FNO and DeepONet. The TNO also supports downstream tasks such as sensitivity analysis and optimization, achieving CFD‑like results while cutting computational cost by four orders of magnitude.

By Qineng Wang, Zhendong Guo, Liming Song, Tianyuan Liu