As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints. However, for machine-learning surrogate climate models (emulators), we show that the low structural diversity in existing scenarios commonly used to generate training data places a ceiling on predictive skill.
The paper introduces the Estimator from Scratch, a neural network that embeds RC thermal building equations to estimate parameters, and its extension, the Pretrained Estimator, which is pretrained on multiple buildings to avoid initial‑guess dependence. Both methods outperform a genetic‑algorithm estimator and a fully black‑box neural network across simulated and real buildings, achieving superior prediction accuracy and lower, more consistent MPC costs. The Pretrained Estimator is highlighted as a robust, computationally efficient, and initial‑guess‑free alternative for RC parameter estimation, with potential applicability to other control‑oriented dynamical systems.
By Fabian Raisch, Timo Germann, Sang-Woo Ham, J. Nathan Kutz, Christoph Goebel, Benjamin Tischler
arXiv:2606. 19302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints.
By Christopher B. Womack, Shahine Bouabid, Andrei Sokolov, Popat Salunke, Glenn Flierl, Sebastian D. Eastham, Noelle E. Selin
arXiv:2605.16929v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Global climate models are essential tools to simulate past and potential future pathways of climate change, as well as associated climate impacts....
By Graham Clyne, Julia Kaltenborn, Peer Nowack, Claire Monteleoni, Anastase Charantonis
arXiv:2610.09770v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Deep learning has made rapid advances in weather forecasting: autoregressive models trained on atmospheric reanalyses now rival dynamical models acro...
By Tom Beucler, J. David Neelin, Hui Su, Shivanshi Asthana, Chris Bretherton, Will Chapman, Costa Christopoulos, Spencer K. Clark, Aditya Grover, Ignacio Lopez-Gomez, Tapio Schneider, Adam Subel, Oliver Watt-Meyer
arXiv:2608. 19804v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Buildings account for roughly one-third of global energy consumption and CO$_2$ emissions.
By Xu Yang, Kailai Sun, Dianyu Zhong, Qianchuan Zhao