arXiv:2606. 05130v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Individual-level mobility prediction is central to urban simulation, transportation planning, and policy analysis.
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arXiv:2606. 12657v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human mobility data is important for transportation, urban planning, and epidemic control, but large-scale trajectory collection is often costly and privacy-constrained, motivating realistic synthetic trajectory generation.
The study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict neighborhood-level human mobility without training data. Using anonymized Cuebiq data across four U.S. metropolitan areas, the authors compare zero‑shot LLM predictions to supervised baselines for various mobility outcomes and assess structural alignment with empirical trends. Results show supervised models outperform LLMs (average accuracy 0.580 vs. 0.435), with LLMs relying on coarse, stable priors that may exhibit biased treatment of protected-group predictors.
arXiv:2609.05837v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based agents are increasingly deployed in real-world applications through tool-use APIs, yet training them for specific environments remains fundam...
The paper introduces Nomad, a transfer-and-ground framework for generating human mobility trajectories without target-city trajectory data. It learns relative transitions from source cities using POI attributes and then grounds these transitions onto a target city’s POI map via a behavior graph and exploration–return walk. Experiments across ten cities show Nomad improves trajectory fidelity and downstream utility by roughly 15% and 3% respectively over adaptation baselines.
arXiv:2608. 03521v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting precise future motion of surrounding agents is essential for reliable autonomous vehicles.
BER-PEF is a Bayes‑error‑rate‑based framework that transforms BER estimation into human mobility predictability estimation, enabling comparison of different estimators even when ground truth predictability is not observable. It maps various data types—symbolic sequences, numeric trajectories, contextual features, and learned representations—into a shared feature–label space and evaluates estimator outputs along controlled perturbation curves against a common predictability reference interval. Experiments on datasets such as Foursquare NYC/TKY, GeoLife, and T‑Drive show that several BER‑based estimators outperform existing methods on symbolic sequences and numeric trajectories, and that aggregating evidence across multiple perturbation levels yields a more reliable basis for selecting estimators.