arXiv Machine Learning

STN-TGAT: Top-K Portfolio Construction via Prior-Guided Graph Attention with Learnable Soft-Threshold Sparsification

arXiv:2607. 19385v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper tackles the problem of stock ranking and portfolio construction under realistic investment settings by jointly modeling temporal dynamics and cross-sectional dependencies.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Financially Guided Deep Portfolio Optimization

arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...

By Rahul Fernandes, Travis Desell
arXiv AI
Sep 18

Cross-Sectional Asset Retrieval via Future-Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning

The paper introduces Future‑Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning (FASCL), a representation learning framework that uses pairwise future return correlations as continuous supervision to improve asset retrieval. FASCL’s soft contrastive loss aligns retrieved assets with correlated future returns, and the authors propose a new evaluation protocol to directly assess future trajectory similarity. Experiments on 5,631 US‑listed securities outperform 14 baselines in future return correlation, rank information coefficient, trend consistency, and gross Sharpe ratio across various retrieval depths and basket sizes.

By Hyeongmin Lee, Chanyeol Choi, Jihoon Kwon, Yoon Kim, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Wonbin Ahn, Justin Xu, Srijan Sood, Qingsong Wen, Chun-Li Yang, Yongjae Lee
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

FinInvest-GTCN: Explainable Graph-Temporal-Causal Modeling for Risk-Aware Investment Decision Optimization

arXiv:2606. 28933v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Venture capital (VC) investment decisions face distinct challenges, such as multi-source heterogeneous data, non-stationary time series, and the demand for explainable predictions in high-stakes, low-data settings.

By Junyan Tan, Yifan Li, Minghao Wang, Zihan Chen, Haoyu Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Is attention truly all we need? An empirical study of asset pricing in pretrained RNN sparse and global attention models

arXiv:2508. 19006v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study investigates the pre-trained RNN attention models with the mainstream attention mechanisms, such as additive attention, Luong's three attentions, global self-attention and sliding window sparse attention, for the empirical asset pricing research on the top 420 large-cap US stocks.

By Shanyan Lai
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

VertiFuseX: Generalizable Financial Forecasting via Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion

VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.

By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv AI
Sep 10

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv AI
Sep 7

EXAONE Forecast for Finance

EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance) is a financial time‑series foundation model designed to overcome the limitations of existing models that rely on self‑attention and assume fully observed data. It replaces self‑attention with a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and a group‑aware pooling MLP for variate mixing, achieving linear‑time complexity. The model is pretrained on a large, diverse financial corpus and, through masked context augmentation, learns to handle missing data, ultimately topping the FinVerse benchmark across accuracy, ranking, and profitability metrics.

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

Graph-Based Modeling of Financial Volatility Dynamics

The paper introduces the Finance‑Aware Graph Spatio‑Temporal Network (FA‑GSTN) for forecasting realized volatility by treating the implied volatility surface as a dynamic graph. Nodes represent grid points on the surface, with edges capturing adaptive intra‑day spatial and explicit inter‑day temporal relationships, while finance‑aware node features (e.g., option Greeks) and a multi‑scale temporal smoothing gate address high‑frequency noise. Experiments on a large equity options dataset show FA‑GSTN achieves state‑of‑the‑art predictive accuracy (R² up to 0.473) and outperforms Vision Transformer baselines even with only one year of training data, demonstrating robustness during market stress.

By Chuanzhen Wang, Alice Zhang, Wei Chen, Michael Brown