arXiv Machine Learning

Certifying Model Upgrades with Slice-Wise Non-Regression and Incumbent Fallback

arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 25

StepCOPS: Closed-Testing Lower-Tail Certificates for Language-Model Policy Selection

StepCOPS is a new method for selecting a language‑model policy from many checkpoints, prompts, and decoding rules by providing closed‑testing lower‑tail certificates. It uses an independent proposal split to nominate a lower‑tail floor for each candidate, applies exact binomial tests on a fresh certification split, and employs Holm’s step‑down procedure to certify a set of floors. In experiments across 24 configurations and 11 benchmarks, StepCOPS achieves 96.4% selected‑policy coverage, raises the certified floor by 1.5 points over prior methods, stays 0.6 points below a large‑reference jury oracle, and abstains in 2.4% of trials.

By Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma
arXiv AI
Aug 24

UpgradeBench: A Decision-Centric Benchmark for Upgrading Fine-Tuned LLM Specialists

UpgradeBench is a decision‑centric longitudinal benchmark that evaluates how fine‑tuned language‑model specialists should be handled when new base‑model releases occur. It covers four consecutive Qwen releases, a continuation checkpoint, six tasks, two model sizes, and OLMo checkpoints with known training lineage, and examines whether retraining, adapter transfer, or other recovery strategies improve specialist performance. The benchmark reveals that upgrade gains vary by task and release interval, that direct adapter copying is sensitive to pretraining distance, and that teacher relabeling can recover specialists without new annotations. "whyItMatters":"The study provides actionable insights into the cost‑effective management of specialist models across model releases, showing how to balance retraining effort with performance gains."

By Ye Chen, Weining Zhang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 10

Layer-Isolated Evaluation: Gating the Deterministic Scaffold of a Production LLM Agent with a No-LLM, Regression-Locked Test Harness

End-to-end task-success is the dominant way to evaluate LLM agents, but one aggregate number tells you that an agent regressed, not where. We present layer-isolated evaluation: a deployed ordering agent is decomposed into a fixed taxonomy of layers (ontology, intent, routing, decomposition, escalation, safety, memory, and cross-cutting envelope/defense), each exercised by its own assertion slice in a deterministic, no-LLM "pure" mode.

arXiv AI
Oct 1

Hard-Gate Candidacy in a Deployed Validator Suite

The paper evaluates hard‑gate candidacy for validators in a deployed generative‑agent system by measuring how well each validator’s firing separates successful from failed builds. Across 13 validators and thousands of builds, only a few checks show statistically significant separation, while many fail to distinguish or never fire. The study highlights that skipped checks are recorded as passes, limiting detectable failure rates and underscoring the need for clearer evaluation records.

By Xin Xu
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Pay Only for Disagreement: Certified No-Regression Verdicts for Model Updates with Matching Label-Complexity Bounds

The paper introduces DISCERN, a two-tier protocol for certifying that updates to production models do not increase risk. It first uses unlabeled data to detect benign updates based on disagreement rates, then selectively labels only disagreements through an anytime-valid confidence sequence. The method achieves finite-sample validity with label-complexity bounds of order ρ²/ε², demonstrating significant label savings and strong empirical performance across 14,000+ audit streams.

By Vishnu Bindu Balachandran