arXiv:2607. 28248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical domains demands reliable estimates of predictive confidence, yet conventional architectures lack principled uncertainty quantification.
By H. Martin Gillis, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2606. 13818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis investigates how Bayesian principles can deepen our understanding of modern deep learning systems.
By Luis A. Ortega
arXiv:2608. 05995v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimates are critical in safety-sensitive applications, where understanding the sources of predictive uncertainty is essential.
By Frieder Wizgall, Georg Tirpitz, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter, B\'alint Mucs\'anyi
arXiv:2606. 16214v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern deep learning models remain notoriously prone to overconfidence, limiting their reliability in high-stakes applications.
By Tobias Jan Wieczorek, Leon de Andrade, Thomas M\"ollenhoff, Marcus Rohrbach
arXiv:2607. 25376v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), variational inference is a widely adopted framework for modeling uncertainty in a distributional way, with the evidence lower bound (ELBO) serving as the standard objective function.
By Pei-Hsuan Hsia, Lars H. Heyen, Arvid Weyrauch, Markus Goetz, Achim Streit, Sebastian Krumscheid, Charlotte Debus
arXiv:2412. 04177v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recently, there has been an increasing interest in performing post-hoc uncertainty estimation about the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs).
By Luis A. Ortega, Sim\'on Rodr\'iguez-Santana, Daniel Hern\'andez-Lobato
arXiv:2606. 15767v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Understanding when and why deep neural networks are uncertain is crucial for deploying reliable machine learning systems in safety-critical domains.
By Dong Hyun Jeong, Feng Chen, Jin-Hee Cho, Lance M. Kaplan, Audun J{\o}sang, Soo-Yeon Ji
arXiv:2505. 02743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process.
By Jiaxiang Yi, Miguel A. Bessa
arXiv:2602. 01477v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) is a popular framework for uncertainty-aware classification that models predictive uncertainty via Dirichlet distributions parameterized by neural networks.
By Pietro Carlotti, Nevena Gligi\'c, Arya Farahi
arXiv:2602. 08142v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning applications require fast and reliable per-sample uncertainty estimation.
By H. Martin Gillis, Isaac Xu, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2605. 00600v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Deep neural networks achieve impressive results across diverse applications, yet their overconfidence on unseen inputs necessitates reliable epistemic uncertainty modeling.
By Yao Ni, Jeremie Houssineau, Yew Soon Ong, Piotr Koniusz
arXiv:2606. 17513v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Neural operators provide fast surrogates for PDEs but their deterministic predictions limit their use in tasks requiring uncertainty quantification (UQ), especially under geometric variability.
By Oriol Vendrell-Gallart, Nima Negarandeh, Ramin Bostanabad