arXiv:2607. 28248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical domains demands reliable estimates of predictive confidence, yet conventional architectures lack principled uncertainty quantification.
By H. Martin Gillis, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2606. 13818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis investigates how Bayesian principles can deepen our understanding of modern deep learning systems.
By Luis A. Ortega
The paper introduces an uncertainty‑driven training framework for 3D CT lung nodule classification that uses validation‑based uncertainty estimates to reweight the loss, aiming to improve predictive performance and probability calibration. Two uncertainty quantification methods—Monte Carlo Dropout and Evidential Deep Learning—are evaluated across multiple backbone architectures (ResNet, DenseNet, EfficientNet, ViT, Swin) on the LIDC‑IDRI and NoduleMNIST3D datasets. The approach yields comparable classification accuracy to conventional training while substantially reducing expected calibration error, especially on convolutional backbones, and shows that simple temperature scaling can also achieve strong calibration.
By Giuseppe Tripodi, Alessandro De Rosis, Saleh Rezaeiravesh
arXiv:2606. 01468v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Due to their explicit priors and ability to model uncertainty, Bayesian methods have played a major role in dynamical latent variable modeling of single-cell neural recordings.
By JR Huml, Jonathan Wenger, John P. Cunningham
arXiv:2601. 07944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex, large-scale predictive problems.
By Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth, Arnab Hazra, Gourab Mukherjee
arXiv:2605. 00600v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Deep neural networks achieve impressive results across diverse applications, yet their overconfidence on unseen inputs necessitates reliable epistemic uncertainty modeling.
By Yao Ni, Jeremie Houssineau, Yew Soon Ong, Piotr Koniusz
arXiv:2607. 23860v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep ensembles provide the most reliable uncertainty estimates in deep learning, but their cost grows linearly with the number of members.
By Mihai Suteu, Ovidiu Serban
arXiv:2412. 04177v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recently, there has been an increasing interest in performing post-hoc uncertainty estimation about the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs).
By Luis A. Ortega, Sim\'on Rodr\'iguez-Santana, Daniel Hern\'andez-Lobato
CORE-STACK+ is a new meta‑learning framework for deep stacked generalization that tackles two key problems in heterogeneous vision ensembles: prediction‑space multicollinearity and calibration collapse. It introduces a four‑step preconditioning pipeline—kernelized redundancy filtering, a lightweight differentiable meta‑feature gate, a spectrum‑adaptive ridge penalty, and a Laplace‑approximate Bayesian blender—to jointly improve conditioning and calibration. Across six vision benchmarks, CORE‑STACK+ boosts accuracy, reduces model count and inference cost, and significantly lowers expected calibration error compared to existing methods.
By Noor Islam S. Mohammad
arXiv:2606. 15479v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Steerable convolutional neural networks (Steerable-CNNs) guarantee SE(3)-equivariance by parameterizing kernels as linear combinations of steerable basis functions, but their deterministic nature precludes uncertainty quantification - limiting their use in settings where confidence estimates are essential.
By Abhishek Keripale, Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan, Susanta Ghosh
arXiv:2507. 08905v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We explore the use of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling as a probabilistic last layer approach for deep neural networks (DNNs).
By Koen Vellenga, H. Joe Steinhauer, G\"oran Falkman, Jonas Andersson, Anders Sj\"ogren
arXiv:2607. 25376v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), variational inference is a widely adopted framework for modeling uncertainty in a distributional way, with the evidence lower bound (ELBO) serving as the standard objective function.
By Pei-Hsuan Hsia, Lars H. Heyen, Arvid Weyrauch, Markus Goetz, Achim Streit, Sebastian Krumscheid, Charlotte Debus