arXiv Machine Learning

Generalized Neural Distributional Regression

arXiv:2607. 14122v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce the Generalized Neural Distributional Regression (GNDR) framework, which seamlessly embeds deep neural networks into the parameter space of classical probability distributions.

arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Deep Learning for Random Objects in Metric Spaces: Beyond Manifold Assumptions

The paper introduces a deep learning framework for regression with random objects in metric spaces, bypassing restrictive manifold or Euclidean embedding assumptions. It provides statistical consistency, convergence rates, and conditions that mitigate the curse of dimensionality for hierarchically compositional regression functions. Extensive simulations and two digital health case studies with distribution-valued outcomes demonstrate competitive predictive performance over existing methods.

By Marcos Matabuena, Xiaokai Luo, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

It depends: Incorporating correlations for joint aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties of high-dimensional output spaces

arXiv:2608.24518v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) plays a vital role in enhancing the reliability of deep learning model predictions, especially in scenarios with high-d...

By Leonhard F. Feiner, Manuel Nickel, Martin Menten, Laurin Lux, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert, Georgios Kaissis, Raphael Rehms, Johannes Paetzold
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Integrating Neural Encoders in Bayesian Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Multimodal Data

arXiv:2607. 04647v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Scalable Bayesian inference for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) provides uncertainty-aware analysis of correlated longitudinal data, but existing scalable approaches largely assume low-dimensional tabular predictors and do not directly accommodate high-dimensional modalities such as images and text.

By Yuankang Zhao, Youngsoo Baek, Felipe A. Medeiros, Samuel Berchuck, Matthew M. Engelhard
arXiv Machine Learning
2d ago

Estimating Performance for Safe Deployment of Machine Learning Models

The paper introduces MOVAL, a model evaluation tool that estimates performance of deep neural networks on unlabeled test data by calibrating class-wise confidence scores. MOVAL mitigates issues from distributional shifts and class imbalance, enabling estimation of metrics beyond accuracy such as F1-Score and AUC. Experiments on natural and medical image datasets demonstrate state‑of‑the‑art results across classification and segmentation tasks, providing accurate class, instance, and pixel‑level performance estimates for safe deployment.

By Zeju Li, Konstantinos Kamnitsas, Mobarakol Islam, Melanie Roschewitz, Cheng Ouyang, Chen Chen, Ben Glocker
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 16

Classical methods for modern applications: synthetic tabular data generation using lightweight discrete response continuous latent variable model

The paper introduces a lightweight algorithm for modeling tabular data with both continuous and discrete variables. It transforms data into a continuous latent space using empirical marginals and a quantile function, enabling efficient estimation with distributions like a multivariate Gaussian. The method preserves complex marginal distributions and correlations, and handles discrete variables via a Monte Carlo expectation‑maximisation framework that allows conventional maximum‑likelihood estimation.

By Bartosz Barzdajn, Mateusz Krzyszto\'n
arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 21

Uncertainty-driven training for three-dimensional calibrated lung nodule classification

The paper introduces an uncertainty‑driven training framework for 3D CT lung nodule classification that uses validation‑based uncertainty estimates to reweight the loss, aiming to improve predictive performance and probability calibration. Two uncertainty quantification methods—Monte Carlo Dropout and Evidential Deep Learning—are evaluated across multiple backbone architectures (ResNet, DenseNet, EfficientNet, ViT, Swin) on the LIDC‑IDRI and NoduleMNIST3D datasets. The approach yields comparable classification accuracy to conventional training while substantially reducing expected calibration error, especially on convolutional backbones, and shows that simple temperature scaling can also achieve strong calibration.

By Giuseppe Tripodi, Alessandro De Rosis, Saleh Rezaeiravesh