arXiv:2506. 01544v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient and accurate individualized imputation and forecasting.
By Batuhan Koyuncu, Rachael DeVries, Ole Winther, Isabel Valera
arXiv:2607. 12094v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable detection of out-of-distribution (OOD) samples is crucial for the safe deployment of machine learning models.
By Ayush Karmacharya (Purdue University), Luke Luschwitz (Purdue University), Lucia Romero (Purdue University), Yanan Niu (EPFL), Joseph Campbell (Purdue University)
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2606. 16196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep neural networks have achieved remarkable performance across medical imaging tasks, yet their tendency to overgeneralize under distributional shifts poses a major obstacle to safe clinical deployment.
By Anju Chhetri, Pratik Shrestha, Ramesh Rana, Prashnna Gyawali, Binod Bhattarai
arXiv:2608. 07953v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Distribution shift poses a significant challenge to the robustness of machine learning models, but the current solutions only aim to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) samples and predict uncertainty levels.
By Yiyao Yang
arXiv:2606. 29925v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As deep learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes applications, providing well-calibrated uncertainty estimates has become as critical as achieving high predictive accuracy.
By Han Zhou, Teodora Popordanoska, Matthew Blaschko
arXiv:2607. 06776v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency.
By Sina Aghaee Dabaghan Fard, Marie Maros, Jaesung Lee
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
By Lening Zhao, Qipeng Zhan, Li Shen
arXiv:2608. 05454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic prediction heads in neural networks typically output either a Gaussian mixture or a single conformal region.
By Zhen Zhang, Amr Alanwar
arXiv:2511. 05924v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating probability density and its score from samples remains a core problem in generative modeling, Bayesian inference, and kinetic theory.
By Vasily Ilin, Peter Sushko, Ranjay Krishna
arXiv:2602. 00797v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Flow-based methods have achieved significant success in various generative modeling tasks, capturing nuanced details within complex data distributions.
By Yakun Wang, Leyang Wang, Song Liu, Taiji Suzuki
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young