arXiv AI

STELLAR: Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement for Long-Tailed Species Distribution Modeling

arXiv:2606. 08484v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Joint Species Distribution Modeling (JSDM) is a key enabler for biodiversity monitoring and conservation planning.

arXiv Statistics ML
6d ago

SAGE: A sampling-aware global evaluation benchmark for species distribution modeling

The paper introduces SAGE, a Sampling‑Aware Global Evaluation benchmark for species distribution modeling that uses GBIF records for training and sPlotOpen vegetation plots for presence‑absence evaluation across 5,771 plant species. It groups species by sampling effort and relative prevalence to assess how well single‑species and multi‑species deep‑learning SDMs perform under different data conditions. The study finds that Random Forests and DeepSDMs perform best overall, with DeepSDMs excelling for infrequently recorded species only when bias‑correction techniques are applied.

By Emilia Arens, Nina van Tiel, Robin Zbinden, Damien Robert, Lukas Drees, Chiara Vanalli, Benjamin Kellenberger, Niklaus E. Zimmermann, Lo\"ic Pellissier, Devis Tuia, Jan Dirk Wegner
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Beyond Static Graph World Models: Learning Stochastic Latent Dynamics over Evolving Topologies

The paper introduces the Graph Dynamics Model (GDM), a world model that learns stochastic latent dynamics over evolving graph topologies. GDM employs a sparse recurrent adjacency matrix for topology updates and a recurrent state‑space architecture for stochastic transitions, enabling it to handle partially observable, stochastic environments. The authors also propose the Graph Distribution Distance (GDD) metric, using maximum mean discrepancy with a graph kernel, to compare predicted and true joint graph state distributions, and demonstrate GDM’s superior performance and zero‑shot generalisation on large graphs.

By Alex Schutz, Nick Hawes, Victor-Alexandru Darvariu
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

AI Emulation of Stochastic Sudden Stratospheric Warming with Interpretable Latent Structure

The paper presents a probabilistic deep learning emulator—a ResNet‑inspired Conditional Variational Autoencoder—for the stochastic Holton–Mass model of stratospheric variability, which exhibits rare transitions between strong and weak polar vortex regimes. The emulator accurately reproduces short‑term dynamics, steady‑state distributions, regime persistence, rare transition rates, the committor function, and expected lead times. Analysis of the 32‑dimensional latent space via PCA reveals an unsupervised separation into four physically interpretable clusters that correspond to the two vortex regimes and their stable or transition‑prone states.

By C. Daniel Boscu, Daniel Hernandez, Fabio Alvarez Ventura, Justin Finkel, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Dorian S. Abbot
arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 15

GorillaWatch: An Automated System for In-the-Wild Gorilla Re-Identification and Population Monitoring

arXiv:2512.07776v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Monitoring critically endangered western lowland gorillas is currently hampered by the immense manual effort required to re-identify individuals fr...

By Maximilian Schall, Felix Leonard Kn\"ofel, Noah Elias K\"onig, Jan Jonas Kubeler, Maximilian von Klinski, Joan Wilhelm Linnemann, Xiaoshi Liu, Iven Jelle Schlegelmilch, Ole Woyciniuk, Alexandra Schild, Dante Wasmuht, Magdalena Bermejo Espinet, German Illera Basas, Gerard de Melo
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

MoveBench: A Benchmark for Global-Scale Wildlife Movement Forecasting

arXiv:2609.15780v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Understanding and predicting wildlife movement is critical for ecology and conservation. While trajectory forecasting has advanced for human and vehicl...

By Justin Kay, Shir Bar, Ellen O. Aikens, Martin Becker, Francesca Cagnacci, Juliet Cohen, Scott W. Forrest, Jessica Kendall-Bar, Madeleine Lucas, Macon Overcast, Meredith S. Palmer, Will Rogers, Nicholas J. Russo, Christian Rutz, Larissa T. Beumer, Michael Brown, Ying-Chi Chan, Sarah C. Davidson, Diego Ellis Soto, Anne G. Hertel, Roland Kays, Benjamin Koger, Guram Mikaberidze, Thomas Mueller, Ruth Oliver, Thorsten Papenbrock, Robert Patchett, Jared A. Stabach, Dane Taylor, Scott W. Yanco, Sara Beery