arXiv:2606. 28225v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal link prediction is usually evaluated by predictive performance on unseen edges, but in probabilistic temporal graphs this criterion can conflate model error with irreducible uncertainty.
arXiv:2606. 28225v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal link prediction (TLP) is typically evaluated by predictive performance on unseen edges, but this criterion can conflate predictive accuracy with recovery of the underlying causal mechanism.
arXiv:2606. 06440v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-driven causal relationship identification is pertinent to advancing understanding of complex systems both within and beyond science.
arXiv:2603. 02159v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding.
arXiv:2607. 09449v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian causal discovery is widely used for its ability to quantify epistemic uncertainty over directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) through posterior inference.
arXiv:2606. 03602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the fundamental limitations of purely statistical methods, such as statistical distinguishability within equivalence classes and sensitivity to finite sample sizes.
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
arXiv:2608. 12640v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery aims to uncover the underlying causal relationships given data generated from a system.
arXiv:2608. 04930v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian causal discovery seeks to determine the posterior distribution of causal theories, which are interpreted as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that explain the observed data.
arXiv:2605. 07267v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Personalized healthcare decisions require reasoning about how physiological and behavioral variables influence an individual patient over time.
arXiv:2606. 13024v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Granger Causal Discovery (GCD) is fundamental for analyzing temporal dependencies in complex systems.
arXiv:2602. 01135v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive models trained via next-token prediction implicitly learn the conditional independence structure of their data-generating process.
arXiv:2608. 07809v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A world model is only useful for physical AI if it changes what the agent does, and only safe if it declines to do so when it is wrong.