arXiv Machine Learning

PerCaM-Health: Personalized Dynamic Causal Graphs for Healthcare Reasoning

arXiv:2605. 07267v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Personalized healthcare decisions require reasoning about how physiological and behavioral variables influence an individual patient over time.

arXiv AI
Aug 12

Expert-Guided g-computation with Large Language Models for Estimating Causal Effects on Timings: Applications to Hospital Quality Improvement

arXiv:2608. 10339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hospital quality improvement (QI) programs routinely face multiple candidate interventions to optimize hospital flow, but existing methods struggle to estimate and rank the causal effects of such interventions.

By Patrick Vossler, Jialin Ouyang, F. Richard Guo, Anran Huang, Ali Shojaie, Lucas Zier, Fan Xia, Jean Feng
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

Reinforcement Learning over Patient Trajectories for Clinical Reasoning in EHR Foundation Models

The paper proposes a reinforcement learning (RL) fine‑tuning framework for electronic health record (EHR) foundation models, treating them as generative policies over patient trajectories. By framing clinical prediction tasks such as hospital readmission as event‑conditioned, time‑windowed reasoning problems and designing time‑aware, rollout‑sensitive rewards, the authors show that RL fine‑tuning consistently outperforms pre‑trained backbones and strong baselines. The approach enables smaller models to surpass larger pre‑trained models in data‑limited settings, induces positive transfer across tasks, and produces trajectories with stronger structural and semantic alignment to ground truth, improving downstream utility.

By Yuxin Xiao, Sheng Zhang, Chandan Singh, Tristan Naumann, Hoifung Poon, Jianfeng Gao, Xiaodong Liu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 30

Orca: Neural Operators for Causal Reasoning in Continuous Time

Structural causal models are the standard language for reasoning about interventions and counterfactuals, but they describe static variables, typically measured once, and usually forbid cyclic dependencies. Many systems we care about, such as patients, climates, and economies, instead evolve continuously in time, are observed at irregular time points, and contain feedback loops.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

HERMES: Contrast-Aware Knowledge Graph Reasoning from Clinical Notes for Patient Outcome Prediction

HERMES is a graph-based framework that uses only clinical text to predict patient outcomes. It builds personalized Knowledge Graphs from clinical notes via Large‑Language‑Model‑guided extraction and Contrastive Logic Modeling, capturing temporal dynamics and treatment changes. A Graph Attention Network then synthesizes patient representations, and experiments on MIMIC‑III and MIMIC‑IV show HERMES outperforms text‑only baselines for in‑hospital mortality and 30‑day readmission prediction.

By Gia-Bach Nguyen, Hoang-Ha Nguyen, Tuan-Cuong Vuong, Trang Mai Xuan, Duy Quoc Ngo, Tien-Cuong Nguyen, Huan Vu, Thien Van Luong
arXiv AI
Sep 7

REFINE: LLM Refinement over Budgeted Text-Attributed Graphs for Personalized Medical Concept Representation

REFINE is a framework that refines medical concept representations by creating patient‑specific temporal graphs from a global text‑attributed knowledge graph. It uses a reinforcement learning policy to allocate a personalized graph expansion budget for each observed code, then processes the resulting graph with a heterogeneous GNN and a frozen LLM that refines representations via graph‑aware soft prompts. Experiments on MIMIC‑III and MIMIC‑IV demonstrate that REFINE consistently improves various EHR prediction backbones, surpasses strong baselines, and shows robust gains across ablation studies, KG selection, and data insufficiency scenarios.

By Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi, Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam, Dongjie Wang, Zijun Yao
arXiv Computer Vision
2d ago

From Image Interpretation to Clinical Reasoning: Upstream Physician-Context-Aware Multimodal Learning with Causal Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2609.38924v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) remain the leading cause of mortality worldwide. Opportunistic screening using routinely acquired clinical d...

By Jialu Pi, Yanan Ma, Weijie Chen, Owen Crystal, Shubham Trivedi, Stephen Xie, Anna Silverman, Matthew Stib, Chadi Ayoub, Reza Arsanjani, Imon Banerjee
arXiv AI
Jul 7

Graph Representation Learning of Longitudinal Medical Imaging Trajectories for Treatment Response Prediction

arXiv:2607. 04912v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In patients with breast cancer, pathological complete response (pCR) has been established as a clinically meaningful surrogate marker for long-term outcomes.

By Johannes Kiechle, Richard Osuala, Daniel M. Lang, Stefan M. Fischer, Ivana Jan\'i\v{c}kov\'a, Karim Lekadir, Julia A. Schnabel, Jan C. Peeken