Financially Guided Deep Portfolio Optimization
arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...
arXiv:2607. 23068v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper introduces a compact reformulation of a modular end-to-end neural network for global minimum-variance portfolio optimization that decouples model complexity from both look-back window length and universe size.
arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...
arXiv:2608.30446v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Small-cap-inclusive equity universes contain recently listed and intermittently traded securities, so enforcing a common look-back discards a substan...
arXiv:2608. 12251v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial volatility is regime dependent, yet incorporating regime information into neural networks can also destabilize training.
VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.
The paper introduces a decision‑focused learning framework for mean‑variance portfolio optimization that embeds the Karush‑Kuhn‑Tucker optimality conditions of the lower‑level optimization into a single‑level learning problem. This approach preserves budget and short‑sale constraints while remaining tractable for standard nonlinear solvers. Experiments on real‑world ETF data across two asset universes demonstrate superior performance on multiple investment metrics and highlight the benefits of the proposed regularization.
arXiv:2607. 09820v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predict-then-optimize systems usually compress uncertainty into a point forecast and then solve a downstream optimization problem as if the forecast were reliable.
arXiv:2608. 02778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a novel application of Neural Networks with Local Converging Inputs (NNLCI) to improve the efficiency of existing numerical methods for pricing multi-asset options.
The paper introduces the Finance‑Aware Graph Spatio‑Temporal Network (FA‑GSTN) for forecasting realized volatility by treating the implied volatility surface as a dynamic graph. Nodes represent grid points on the surface, with edges capturing adaptive intra‑day spatial and explicit inter‑day temporal relationships, while finance‑aware node features (e.g., option Greeks) and a multi‑scale temporal smoothing gate address high‑frequency noise. Experiments on a large equity options dataset show FA‑GSTN achieves state‑of‑the‑art predictive accuracy (R² up to 0.473) and outperforms Vision Transformer baselines even with only one year of training data, demonstrating robustness during market stress.
arXiv:2607. 19385v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper tackles the problem of stock ranking and portfolio construction under realistic investment settings by jointly modeling temporal dynamics and cross-sectional dependencies.
arXiv:2608. 19394v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce Deep-MKV-TS, a path-dependent McKean-Vlasov framework for financial scenario generation.
arXiv:2602. 00334v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Momentum Stochastic Gradient Descent (mSGD) relies on a fixed momentum coefficient shared across all parameters, failing to account for the heterogeneous structure of modern loss landscapes.
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).