arXiv Machine Learning

Neural Network-Driven Volatility Drag Mitigation under Aggressive Leverage

arXiv:2607. 23068v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper introduces a compact reformulation of a modular end-to-end neural network for global minimum-variance portfolio optimization that decouples model complexity from both look-back window length and universe size.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 29

Adaptive Momentum and Nonlinear Damping for Neural Network Training

arXiv:2602. 00334v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Momentum Stochastic Gradient Descent (mSGD) relies on a fixed momentum coefficient shared across all parameters, failing to account for the heterogeneous structure of modern loss landscapes.

By Aikaterini Karoni, Rajit Rajpal, Benedict Leimkuhler, Gabriel Stoltz
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 13

Forking-Sequences: Statistically and Computationally Efficient Multi-Horizon Forecasting with Reduced Volatility

arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).

By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv AI
Jun 9

Addressing Market Regime Changes and Heavy-Tailed Returns in Portfolio Optimization via Bayesian VAR and Elliptical Black-Litterman

arXiv:2606. 09104v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) frameworks for portfolio optimization have shown promise for their ability to learn allocation rules dynamically from market data.

By Daniil Mikriukov (University of Liverpool, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Ruoyu Sun (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Angelos Stefanidis (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Jionglong Su (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Zhengyong Jiang (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

MAPLE: Efficient and Diverse Multi-Alpha Generation for Portfolio Construction

arXiv:2607. 24131v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Classical alpha mining achieves strong risk-adjusted returns by combining many low-correlated predictive signals, yet deep learning stock-ranking methods typically produce a single alpha per stock, rely on increasingly complex architectures with diminishing gains, and obtain diversity only through separate models or implicit routing, without explicitly controlling inter-alpha correlation.

By Yu-Chen Den, Kuan-Yu Chen, Kendro Vincent, Tien-Hao Chang