arXiv:2607. 09820v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predict-then-optimize systems usually compress uncertainty into a point forecast and then solve a downstream optimization problem as if the forecast were reliable.
arXiv:2504. 10796v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is widely used for decision-making under uncertainty, but its adversarial focus on worst-case loss can lead to overly conservative policies.
arXiv:2605. 00155v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) is a central post-training tool for aligning large language models, but its training reward is only a learned proxy for true human utility.
arXiv:2608.29789v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification from finite data is central to machine learning, optimization, and automation systems, where decisions must remain reliabl...
The paper introduces a decision‑focused learning framework for mean‑variance portfolio optimization that embeds the Karush‑Kuhn‑Tucker optimality conditions of the lower‑level optimization into a single‑level learning problem. This approach preserves budget and short‑sale constraints while remaining tractable for standard nonlinear solvers. Experiments on real‑world ETF data across two asset universes demonstrate superior performance on multiple investment metrics and highlight the benefits of the proposed regularization.
arXiv:2608. 13133v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributional shifts arise when the target deployment environment differs from the source environment that generated the training data.
arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...
arXiv:2605. 07565v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study Bayesian Optimisation (BO) in settings where the objective function is influenced by uncontrollable environmental contexts governed by an unknown probability distribution.
arXiv:2606. 04342v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multi-step time series forecasting (MSF) is commonly evaluated using point-wise error metrics such as mean squared error (MSE), implicitly treating the conditional mean as a sufficient target.
The paper introduces a distributionally robust method for learning hyperparameters of first‑order convex optimization algorithms. By minimizing a Wasserstein‑robust performance estimation problem over a dataset of problem instances, the approach interpolates between classical learning‑to‑optimize (L2O) and worst‑case PEP design. The authors solve the resulting problem with stochastic gradient descent, provide high‑probability risk bounds, and demonstrate that the learned algorithms outperform both worst‑case optimal and vanilla L2O baselines on logistic regression, LASSO, and linear programming tasks.
arXiv:2509. 09371v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) protects statistical learning against distributional shifts by optimizing the worst-case performance over a set of perturbed distributions.
arXiv:2607. 05830v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The increasing uncertainty from flexible demand and renewable generation has made distributionally robust optimization (DRO) an important tool for robust power system dispatch.
The paper introduces a score‑calibrated robustness framework that transforms any fixed point predictor into a decision‑relevant uncertainty representation using distribution‑free conformal calibration. By employing the conformal score as the core unit of robustness, the authors derive both reliability‑based robust optimization and target‑oriented Conformal Robust Satisficing formulations, linking them through a shared robust decision frontier and a fragility measure. Experiments on synthetic data and a real online‑grocery inventory case study demonstrate the framework’s ability to improve reliability, reduce costs, and provide interpretable uncertainty scales for black‑box predictors.