arXiv AI

An Open-Source, Event-Driven Pipeline for Cryptocurrency Market Data: Ingestion, Forecasting, and On-Chain Fraud Detection

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 20

Catching the Rug: Early Prediction of Fraudulent Memecoins on Solana via Machine Learning

The paper presents a method for early detection of fraudulent memecoins (rug pulls) on the Solana blockchain, using a dataset of 6.4 million tokens collected over seven months. It shows that most rug pulls occur within an hour of launch and that classic machine learning models, especially Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), can reliably predict them using only the first five minutes of trading data. Cross‑platform data fusion between PumpFun and Raydium further improves detection by reducing domain shift.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 29

Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments \& Analysis]

The paper introduces a continuously synchronized dataset suite covering the entire lifecycle of decentralized prediction markets, from market creation to final settlement. It integrates market metadata, fill-level trading records, and oracle-resolution events into a unified relational system, providing over 3.29 million market records, 1.90 billion order executions, and 21 million oracle events from October 2020 to the present. The authors detail the data model, collection pipeline, and consistency mechanisms, and demonstrate the dataset’s usefulness for sports betting, economic forecasting, and blockchain research, with public access via a website and interactive tools.

By Huaiyu Jia, Luofeng Zhou, Wentao Zhang, Lin William Cong, Siguang Li, Shuo Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

NetBurst: Event-Centric Forecasting of Bursty, Intermittent Time Series

arXiv:2510. 22397v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Network operators monitor their infrastructure by collecting telemetry data such as packet counts, byte rates, or flow volumes, yet answering the questions that effective operations demand -- forecasting future load, diagnosing and characterizing anomalies, and searching for and retrieving historical precedents -- requires more than raw measurements.

By Satyandra Guthula, Jaber Daneshamooz, Charles Fleming, Kesheng Wu, Walter Willinger, Arpit Gupta
arXiv AI
4d ago

TxnQA: Benchmarking Analytical Reasoning and Evidence Grounding over Transaction Event Sequences

TxnQA is a new analytical QA benchmark that tests reasoning and evidence grounding over transaction event sequences. It contains 27 task families with 81 templates and a 5‑scenario fraud‑risk reasoning suite built on synthetic, privacy‑mitigated transaction data. The benchmark evaluates models using format‑following rate, conditional content accuracy, and end‑to‑end correctness, revealing distinct bottlenecks in schema compliance, semantic calculation, and evidence attribution.

By Rabimba Karanjai, Yiming Bian, Yun-Shiuan Chuang, Jenna L. Ballard, Zijie Pan, Shivani Shekhar, Yixi Li, Yirou Ge, Avinash Thangali, Richard Williamson, Linsey Pang, Prakhar Mehrotra