arXiv AI

Catching the Rug: Early Prediction of Fraudulent Memecoins on Solana via Machine Learning

arXiv:2608. 20271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid proliferation of memecoins on blockchain platforms has increased the risk of fraudulent activities, particularly rug pulls.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 20

Catching the Rug: Early Prediction of Fraudulent Memecoins on Solana via Machine Learning

The paper presents a method for early detection of fraudulent memecoins (rug pulls) on the Solana blockchain, using a dataset of 6.4 million tokens collected over seven months. It shows that most rug pulls occur within an hour of launch and that classic machine learning models, especially Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), can reliably predict them using only the first five minutes of trading data. Cross‑platform data fusion between PumpFun and Raydium further improves detection by reducing domain shift.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 20

Volatility-Aware Extreme Event Detection in High-Frequency Financial Markets

Predicting extreme price movements in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed return distributions, and severe class imbalance. In particular, rare but impactful events are often difficult to detect using conventional modeling approaches, which typically treat extreme movements as isolated observations.