arXiv Machine Learning

NetBurst: Event-Centric Forecasting of Bursty, Intermittent Time Series

arXiv:2510. 22397v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Network operators monitor their infrastructure by collecting telemetry data such as packet counts, byte rates, or flow volumes, yet answering the questions that effective operations demand -- forecasting future load, diagnosing and characterizing anomalies, and searching for and retrieving historical precedents -- requires more than raw measurements.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

ClouDens: Operational Context-Aware Anomaly Detection for Large-scale Cloud System Monitoring

arXiv:2607. 18127v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: With the rapid growth of cloud computing infrastructures in scale and complexity, network monitoring for Large-scale Cloud Systems (LCSs) has become increasingly challenging, requiring automated and reliable anomaly detection to maintain service availability.

By Thu T. H. Doan, Mohammad Saiful Islam, Andriy Miranskyy, Ngoc-Thanh Nguyen, Rogardt Heldal, Patrizio Pelliccione
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

How Good Can Linear Models Be for Time-Series Forecasting?

Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Enhancing Anomaly Resilience in Research Networks: A Large-Scale Forecasting Benchmark for Dynamic Security Baselining

arXiv:2608. 05605v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Research and Education Networks (RENs) serve as critical infrastructure for scientific discovery, yet they face a unique security paradox: their normal traffic patterns which are characterized by massive, bursty "elephant flows" are statistically indistinguishable from volumetric attacks such as DDoS to conventional monitoring systems.

By Mohammad Arafath Uddin Shariff, Byrav Ramamurthy
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

GAttNHP: Group Attention Neural Hawkes Process for Extrapolation Reasoning in Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.

By Xiangni Tian, Kaixian Yu, Runpeng Dai, Niansheng Tang, Hongtu Zhu