arXiv Machine Learning

Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimation

arXiv:2602. 09161v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for fast inference by querying it on new test observations.

arXiv AI
Jun 6

Correcting Prompt Dependence in LLM Benchmarks: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Embedding-Space Clustering

arXiv:2510. 05709v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: LLM benchmarking metrics often misstate performance and uncertainty as they rely on two assumptions that frequently do not hold in practice: (i) a sufficient number of evaluations are available for classical inference, and (ii) test prompts are independent.

By Mary Llewellyn, Isobel Thornton, James Bishop, Annie Gray