arXiv:2609.37381v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) has been widely successful in inferring a relatively small number of interpretable parameters from potentially...
By Lars K\"uhmichel, Stefan T. Radev, Bhanu Prasanna Koppolu, Masoumeh Davoudi, Jerry M. Huang, Paul-Christian B\"urkner
Neural Composite Likelihood Estimation (NCLE) extends simulation‑based inference to high‑dimensional time series by partitioning long sequences into equal‑sized batches. For each batch, a neural network estimates the likelihood via conditional density estimation, and the product of these batch likelihoods forms an approximate composite likelihood. Frequentist inference is then performed by maximizing this composite likelihood to obtain a point estimate and by estimating the Godambe information matrix to derive confidence intervals.
By Grace Yan, Mark Beaumont, Dennis Prangle
arXiv:2606. 10023v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate posterior estimation is central to scientific inference, as uncertainties determine what can be reliably learned from observational data.
By Ludvig Doeser, Jens Jasche
arXiv:2407. 20432v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed.
By Linnea M Wolniewicz, Peter Sadowski, Claudio Corti
arXiv:2509. 23385v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Simulation-based inference (SBI) is transforming experimental sciences by enabling parameter estimation in complex non-linear models from simulated data.
By Pierre-Louis Ruhlmann, Michael Arbel, Florence Forbes, Pedro L. C. Rodrigues
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
By Caroline Tatsuoka, Minglei Yang, Dongbin Xiu, Guannan Zhang