arXiv Machine Learning

Uncertainty Quantification Is Indispensable for Reliable Connectome-Based Graph Learning: A Narrative Review and Case Study

The paper reviews uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for graph neural networks used in connectome-based diagnostic classification and presents a case study on a temporal Graph Attention Network applied to dynamic functional connectivity data for Cocaine Use Disorder. It highlights that deterministic GNNs can produce overconfident predictions, as shown by a Monte Carlo dropout audit revealing high confidence on misclassified subjects. The study demonstrates the need for rigorous UQ, calibration, and selective prediction to ensure reliable graph-based biomarkers in clinical neuroscience.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

Explainable Graph-theoretical Machine Learning with Application to Alzheimer's Disease Prediction

The paper introduces Explainable Graph-theoretical Machine Learning (XGML) to build individual metabolic brain graphs from FDG-PET data and identify subgraphs predictive of multivariate Alzheimer’s disease outcomes. Using ADNI data, the best model—kernel density estimation with Hellinger distance and random forest—achieved a Pearson correlation of 0.595 across eight cognitive scores, with the highest performance on ADAS13, ADAS11, and ADASQ4. Key edges were found to be jointly but differentially predictive, indicating potential network biomarkers for cognitive decline, though external validation on OASIS3 showed weaker performance likely due to cohort differences.

By Narmina Baghirova, Duy-Thanh V\~u, Duy-Cat Can, Christelle Schneuwly Diaz, Julien Bodlet, Guillaume Blanc, Georgi Hrusanov, Bernard Ries, Oliver Y. Ch\'en
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

HierarchicalDAEW: Domain-Aware Edge-Weighted Graph Convolution with Evidential Uncertainty for Multi-Section Spatial Gene Expression Prediction from H&E Histology

arXiv:2607. 20896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatial transcriptomics assays remain costly and technically demanding, restricting transcriptome-wide profiling to specialist settings and preventing routine clinical deployment.

By Kritanu Chattopadhyay, Soumya Chatterjee, Ondrej Krejcar, Debotosh Bhattacharjee
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Differentiable latent structure discovery for interpretable forecasting in clinical time series

arXiv:2604. 27967v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: We introduce StructGP, a continuous-time multi-task Gaussian process that couples process convolutions with differentiable structure learning to uncover a sparse, ordered directed acyclic graph (DAG) of inter-variable dependencies while preserving principled uncertainty.

By Ivan Lerner, Jean Feydy, Alexandre Kalimouttou, Anita Burgun, Francis Bach
arXiv AI
5d ago

Rethinking Epistemic Uncertainty in Node Classification through Information Growth

The paper introduces a statistical framework to test whether epistemic uncertainty in node classification decreases as more information about the data‑generating process becomes available. It shows that existing graph evidential deep learning methods fail to meet a consistency criterion under this framework, because they regulate uncertainty via hyperparameters rather than data uncertainty. The authors propose graph bootstrap ensembles, which reduce epistemic uncertainty more effectively than standard deep ensembles and satisfy the consistency criterion in controlled experiments.

By Emma Meneghini, Francesco Ferrini, Bruno Lepri, Andrea Passerini, Veronica Lachi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Artemis: Anatomy-Resolved inTervention for Eliminating Multimodal NeuroImage confounderS

arXiv:2606. 18287v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multimodal neuroimaging, integrating functional connectivity from fMRI and structural connectivity from DTI, enables non-invasive analysis of brain networks using graph neural networks.

By Siyuan Dai, Yang Du, Kun Zhao, Zhusuyi Chen, Heng Huang, Paul Thompson, Chao Shi, Haoteng Tang, Liang Zhan
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

BrainATCL: Adaptive Temporal Brain Connectivity Learning for Functional Link Prediction and Age Estimation

BrainATCL is an unsupervised, nonparametric framework that learns adaptive temporal brain connectivity from resting‑state fMRI data. It dynamically adjusts the lookback window for each snapshot based on newly added edges and encodes graph sequences with a GINE‑Mamba2 backbone, incorporating brain‑structure and function‑informed edge attributes. The method is evaluated on functional link prediction and age estimation, showing superior performance and strong generalization, even across sessions.

By Yiran Huang, Amirhossein Nouranizadeh, Christine Ahrends, Mengjia Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Geometry-Guided Generative Representation for Functional Brain Graphs

arXiv:2511. 04539v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In network neuroscience, functional brain systems are often characterized using separate yet related graph-theoretic or spectral descriptors, overlooking how these properties covary and partially overlap across individuals and conditions.

By Subati Abulikemu, Tiago Azevedo, Michail Mamalakis, John Suckling