The paper reviews uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for graph neural networks used in connectome-based diagnostic classification and presents a case study on a temporal Graph Attention Network applied to dynamic functional connectivity data for Cocaine Use Disorder. It highlights that deterministic GNNs can produce overconfident predictions, as shown by a Monte Carlo dropout audit revealing high confidence on misclassified subjects. The study demonstrates the need for rigorous UQ, calibration, and selective prediction to ensure reliable graph-based biomarkers in clinical neuroscience.
By Mansooreh Pakravan
arXiv:2607. 07330v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hypergraph neural networks have shown powerful capability in modeling higher-order relations, yet their predictive uncertainty remains underexplored.
By Zhiheng Zhou, Mengyao Zhou, Dengyi Zhao, Xingqin Qi, Guiying Yan
The paper introduces QUEST, a method for uncertain knowledge graph completion that adds no trainable parameters to the standard pipeline. QUEST first initializes entity embeddings using the smallest non‑trivial eigenvectors of the confidence‑weighted graph Laplacian, thereby preserving community and hub structure before training. It then applies an unbiased mini‑batch Dirichlet energy regularizer to enforce early‑stage structural consistency, leading to improved confidence and link prediction on most metric‑dataset pairs and eliminating instability spikes on dense graphs.
By Md Abrar Jahin, Taufikur Rahman Fuad, Jay Pujara, Craig A. Knoblock
arXiv:2606. 10777v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes settings.
By Arthur Hoarau
arXiv:2602. 01477v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) is a popular framework for uncertainty-aware classification that models predictive uncertainty via Dirichlet distributions parameterized by neural networks.
By Pietro Carlotti, Nevena Gligi\'c, Arya Farahi
arXiv:2510. 09416v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning on temporal graphs has become a central topic in graph representation learning, with numerous benchmarks indicating the strong performance of state-of-the-art models.
By Abigail J. Hayes, Tobias Schumacher, Markus Strohmaier