The paper presents a hybrid Convolutional‑Transformer model for forecasting Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC) on a monthly basis. It combines convolutional encoding for spatial features with factorised self‑attention to capture spatio‑temporal dependencies, and introduces two seasonal prior mechanisms: a month‑aware positional encoding and a seasonal temporal bias. Experiments show the model outperforms convolutional and recurrent baselines, with ablation studies confirming the benefits of the seasonal priors for both short‑ and long‑horizon predictions.
arXiv:2408. 11336v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Climate change stands as one of the most pressing global challenges of the twenty-first century, with far-reaching consequences such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increasingly extreme weather patterns.
arXiv:2604. 16325v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges.
arXiv:2607. 04117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: ERA5 seasonal climate variables contain predictive information about future glacier retreat beyond what satellite imagery alone provides, yet existing deep learning methods focus on mapping current boundaries rather than forecasting future ones.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better handle high dimensionality and complex relationships, while adding explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better capture short‑ and long‑term patterns across time and channel dimensions, while adding simple explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that a single‑layer SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 13119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Spatio-Temporal forecasting is crucial in diverse fields, such as transportation, climate, and energy.
arXiv:2606. 13119v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Spatio-Temporal forecasting is crucial in diverse fields, such as transportation, climate, and energy.
arXiv:2512. 03606v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable.
The paper proposes a method for predicting future snow water equivalent (SWE) across the Western United States by first removing spatial correlations using a Gaussian Process-based linear transformation, then training a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network on the decorrelated data. This separation of spatial and temporal components improves predictive accuracy compared to baseline models. Additionally, the authors incorporate conformal prediction to provide distribution‑free uncertainty estimates for SWE forecasts.
arXiv:2607. 06614v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate station-level demand forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of bike-sharing systems, yet it remains challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dependencies and the large scale of urban networks.
arXiv:2503. 24007v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In time series forecasting, covariates represent external factors that influence target variables.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.