The paper presents a three‑stage framework that merges a Random Forest (RF) model with a cellular automaton (CA) to model large‑scale wildfire spread. First, an RF trained on the 2021 Canadian fire season predicts daily pixel‑level fire‑occurrence probabilities. Second, optional spread‑rate priors are supplied by quantile gradient boosting models for sensitivity analysis. Third, an RF‑informed CA integrates the RF probability layer with neighbourhood‑driven spread on a 5 km grid, achieving higher spatial overlap than CA‑only baselines in 2023 simulations and demonstrating improved performance on 2022–2024 datasets (AUC 0.725–0.795).
arXiv:2606. 11676v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traditional wildfire models rely on rigid, low-dimensional parameters and static fuel maps, frequently underpredicting fire spread.
arXiv:2608. 07472v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wildfire prediction models typically discretize study areas into uniform grids, ignoring the heterogeneous spatial distribution of ignitions.
arXiv:2609.17763v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Next-day wildfire prediction requires models whose forecasts can be evaluated alongside the assumptions and historical evidence used in their computati...
The study evaluates deep learning surrogates for wildfire spread prediction, training four architectures on 10,584 high‑resolution simulations from Catalonia. Results show that only surface fuel load significantly predicts burn probability, and convolutional models mainly use distance to the fire front while a transformer model emphasizes fuel and terrain. When applied to a new region without retraining, the models still perform reasonably, with only a modest accuracy drop.
arXiv:2606. 20291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Remote sensing is increasingly relied upon to deliver actionable science for forest and wildfire risk management across large landscapes.
arXiv:2607. 07951v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wildfire smoke events produce extreme PM$_{2.
arXiv:2608. 12663v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products.
The paper introduces a hybrid CNN‑cellular automaton (CNN‑CA) simulator for planning aerial wildfire suppression, trained on six historical fires. It jointly optimizes binary drop decisions and continuous aircraft trajectories while accounting for aircraft constraints, wind drift, and fuel reduction effects of water and retardant. The authors evaluate the method against random, tactical, greedy, and derivative‑free planners, showing significant reductions in simulated fire extent under a 2020 Bear Fire case study, though noting the results are conditional on the frozen simulator and not operational evidence.
The paper proposes a data-driven protocol that uses multispectral Landsat‑8 imagery and connected‑component analysis to characterize fire‑region size distributions for active wildfire segmentation. Three segmentation architectures—U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer—are evaluated under different SWIR‑based spectral configurations, with U‑Net showing the strongest robustness and SWIR2 consistently delivering the best results. The study highlights the importance of both spectral band selection and architectural design for robust satellite‑based active wildfire mapping, especially when training on low fire‑pixel density images.
arXiv:2607. 27217v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is a critical indicator of ecosystem productivity and terrestrial carbon storage, yet regional carbon monitoring remains constrained by the sparse spatial and temporal availability of field inventories and airborne structural measurements.
arXiv:2608. 11638v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatially continuous quantification of forest above-ground biomass (AGB) is what makes carbon accounting credible and mitigation strategies actionable.
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.