The study analyzes vineyard resilience to the 2019 Kincade Fire in Sonoma County using a comprehensive geospatial framework that includes Sentinel‑2 imagery, weather data, soil and terrain models, and smoke polygons. It finds that vineyard fields experienced lower immediate spectral damage (dNBR) than surrounding wildland vegetation, yet this advantage does not translate into a universal firebreak effect; conditional models reveal a positive association between vineyard fraction and dNBR after accounting for location, terrain, and water use. Additionally, all vineyards were exposed to smoke, a significant portion of road nodes became dead ends, and vineyards inside the fire perimeter showed a slightly larger greenness deficit through 2021, indicating incomplete resilience.
whyItMatters":"The findings demonstrate that lower spectral impact does not guarantee full resilience, highlighting the need for nuanced, data‑driven decision support in managing agricultural landscapes during wildfires."
By Parastoo Farajpoor, Mahla Ardebili Pour, Mohammad Bagher Ghiasi, Mohammadreza Narimani
arXiv:2609.16168v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Working agricultural landscapes are often treated as background to wildfire disasters, even though they are managed fuel mosaics, productive...
By Parastoo Farajpoor, Mahla Ardebili Pour, Mohammad Bagher Ghiasi, Mohammadreza Narimani
Working agricultural landscapes are often treated as background to wildfire disasters, even though they are managed fuel mosaics, productive assets, and parts of regional infrastructure systems. We ex...
arXiv:2608. 12663v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products.
By Yuan Zhuang, Sanaa Hobeichi, Peng Shi, Fei Huang
Annual Earth‑observation embeddings, specifically Tessera, can encode wildfire disturbance signals well enough to map burned areas without needing curated fire‑specific imagery or dense time‑series analysis. In tests, linear models using a single Tessera embedding matched or outperformed paired pre‑ and post‑fire HLS imagery and post‑fire imagery alone, achieving high F1 scores for burn‑scar delineation and regional mapping. The approach successfully mapped all same‑year fires in benchmark scenes, recovered 97% of California burned area without California training data, transferred to European fires with high accuracy, and even estimated ignition timing within a 13‑day error margin.
"whyItMatters":"The study demonstrates that pre‑trained annual embeddings can simplify and scale burned‑area mapping, reducing reliance on dense time‑series data and enabling more efficient wildfire monitoring."
By Jovana Knezevic, Clement Atzberger, Zhengpeng Feng, Adam F. A. Pellegrini, Srinivasan Keshav, David Coomes
arXiv:2609.36315v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Wildfires are an increasing hazard to ecosystems, air quality, and human systems, creating a growing need for datasets that support systematic develo...
By Arya Kondur, Giosue Migliorini, Cameron Schmitt, Francesco Immorlano, Tairan Wang, Rebecca C. Scholten, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou, Gary Johnson, Chris Lautenberger, Valentin Waeselynck, J. Shane Romsos, Kasra Shamsaei, Alejandro Tejedor, Tianjia Liu, Yang Chen, Padhraic Smyth, James T. Randerson
WildfireSpreadBench evaluates machine‑learning models for predicting next‑day wildfire spread, comparing five discriminative and one generative architecture on the WildfireSpreadTS dataset. The study shows that model rankings differ markedly when using Average Precision versus threshold‑dependent metrics such as F1 and IoU, revealing three distinct prediction profiles—over‑predicting, balanced, and under‑predicting—that AP alone cannot distinguish. Expanding input channels modestly affected AP, underscoring that AP may favor models with predictions poorly suited for operational use.
By Arin Gopakumar, Marco Pannozzo
The paper introduces an AI surrogate modelling framework that accelerates wildfire hazard mapping across Canada. By training a multi‑task deep learning model on national‑scale data, the surrogate reproduces key outputs of the computationally intensive BurnP3+ simulator—burn probability, mean fire intensity, and mean rate of spread—in seconds instead of days or weeks. The framework includes standardized training, fine‑tuning, and evaluation protocols, domain‑specific metrics, and counterfactual evaluation to ensure robust out‑of‑distribution performance, achieving up to 806‑fold CPU speed‑up and 13% memory usage compared to the original simulator.
By Hager Radi Abdelwahed, Toluwaleke Olutayo, Chirag Goel, Jana Osea, Aldo Zaimi, Tom Swystun, Sandy Erni, Francisco Emiliano Lopez Saavedra, Yan Boulanger, Ga\'etan Marceau Caron
arXiv:2608.13856v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Timely urban-canopy information is essential for linking remote sensing with heat, mobility, and neighborhood planning. We developed an optic...
By Mohammadreza Narimani, Shreyan Mitra, Parastoo Farajpoor
The paper presents modular deep learning augmentations for next‑day wildfire spread prediction, including wind‑ and slope‑conditioned attention biases, physics‑feature retrieval‑augmented output correction, and fire‑conditioned dual‑stream gating. These modules are evaluated on five backbone models using the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, with staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The best augmented SwinUNETR model achieves an F1 score of 0.4216 and an AUC‑PR of 0.3673, while a mixed ensemble reaches 0.4292 and 0.3790, demonstrating that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality can be simultaneously improved.
By Miguel Esparza, Aydin Ayanzadeh Ahmad Mousavi, Ali Mostafavi
arXiv:2608. 08321v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Floods and landslides often co-occur, but their relationships with environmental controls vary spatially.
By Aswathi Mundayatt, Siddharth Anil, Hitanshu Seth, Jaya Sreevalsan-Nair
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu