arXiv AI
PyroStack: A Multi-Band Spatio-Temporal Sub-Daily Dataset for Wildfires in the United States
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arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 23
Annual Earth-observation embeddings encode wildfire disturbance and support simplified burned area mapping
Annual Earth‑observation embeddings, specifically Tessera, can encode wildfire disturbance signals well enough to map burned areas without needing curated fire‑specific imagery or dense time‑series analysis. In tests, linear models using a single Tessera embedding matched or outperformed paired pre‑ and post‑fire HLS imagery and post‑fire imagery alone, achieving high F1 scores for burn‑scar delineation and regional mapping. The approach successfully mapped all same‑year fires in benchmark scenes, recovered 97% of California burned area without California training data, transferred to European fires with high accuracy, and even estimated ignition timing within a 13‑day error margin. "whyItMatters":"The study demonstrates that pre‑trained annual embeddings can simplify and scale burned‑area mapping, reducing reliance on dense time‑series data and enabling more efficient wildfire monitoring."
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11
Data-Driven Fire-Zone Segmentation for Improved Short-Term Wildfire Prediction
arXiv:2608. 07472v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wildfire prediction models typically discretize study areas into uniform grids, ignoring the heterogeneous spatial distribution of ignitions.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7
Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Post-Wildfire Debris-Flow Prediction
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11
Neural-Parameterized Cellular Automata for Wildfire Spread
arXiv:2606. 11676v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traditional wildfire models rely on rigid, low-dimensional parameters and static fuel maps, frequently underpredicting fire spread.
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17
Modular Deep Learning Mechanisms for Auditable Next-Day Wildfire Spread Prediction
The paper presents modular deep learning augmentations for next‑day wildfire spread prediction, including wind‑ and slope‑conditioned attention biases, physics‑feature retrieval‑augmented output correction, and fire‑conditioned dual‑stream gating. These modules are evaluated on five backbone models using the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, with staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The best augmented SwinUNETR model achieves an F1 score of 0.4216 and an AUC‑PR of 0.3673, while a mixed ensemble reaches 0.4292 and 0.3790, demonstrating that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality can be simultaneously improved.
arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 17
Rapid Loss of the Sierra Nevada's Largest Trees Driven by Fire
A deep learning model (U‑Net‑ID) mapped 6.5 million large trees (crown area ≥ 100 m²) across 78.7 % of the Sierra Nevada Floristic Province using sub‑meter aerial imagery from 2020. The spatial distribution of these trees correlated with elevation, temperature, and precipitation. From 2020 to 2025, Sentinel‑2 time series and BFAST breakpoint analysis revealed that wildfires were the dominant driver of large‑tree mortality, killing 10 % of all large trees, especially during the extreme 2020‑2021 fire seasons.