arXiv AI

Quantification of Credal Uncertainty: A Distance-Based Approach

arXiv:2603. 27270v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Credal sets, i.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

An Axiomatic Assessment of Entropy- and Variance-based Uncertainty Quantification in Regression

arXiv:2504. 18433v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty quantification is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations.

By Christopher B\"ulte, Yusuf Sale, Timo L\"ohr, Paul Hofman, Gitta Kutyniok, Eyke H\"ullermeier
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

Optimal Conformal Prediction under Epistemic Uncertainty

arXiv:2505. 19033v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used frequentist framework to quantify uncertainty by constructing prediction sets with user-specified marginal coverage guarantees.

By Alireza Javanmardi, Soroush H. Zargarbashi, Santo M. A. R. Thies, Willem Waegeman, Aleksandar Bojchevski, Eyke H\"ullermeier
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10

Robustness Quantification for Discriminative Models: a New Robustness Metric and its Application to Dynamic Classifier Selection

arXiv:2603. 23318v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before changing its prediction.

By Rodrigo F. L. Lassance, Jasper De Bock
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Not Just How Much, But Where: Decomposing Epistemic Uncertainty into Per-Class Contributions

arXiv:2602. 21160v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In safety-critical classification, the cost of failure is often asymmetric, yet Bayesian deep learning summarises epistemic uncertainty with a single scalar, mutual information (MI), that cannot distinguish whether a model's ignorance involves a benign or safety-critical class.

By Mame Diarra Toure, David A. Stephens