The paper introduces EpiCoach, an agentic system that treats a single athlete as the subject of accountable N‑of‑1 science. It uses a mechanistic digital twin—comprising a lagged heart‑rate model, a fitness‑fatigue model, and a latent skill state—to generate probabilistic predictions for future training sessions, which are logged in an evidence‑gated hypothesis registry. Over eighteen months, the system’s predictions were evaluated both retrospectively and prospectively, showing improved heart‑rate forecasting and a transparent, auditable loop for personalized training guidance.
By Behnam Moradi
arXiv:2607. 21403v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mobile-health interventions increasingly use online learning and decision making algorithms to personalize when to nudge users toward healthier behavior, but a poorly designed algorithm can burden and disengage participants.
By Ziping Xu, Yuyi Chang, Chenshun Ni, Nithin Sugavanam, Asim H. Gazi, Pedja Klasnja, Emre Ertin, Susan A. Murphy
WearableQA is a new benchmark that tests AI systems on health reasoning using real-world wearable data from 200 users, each with up to 500 days of daily measurements. It contains 4,084 ten‑option multiple‑choice questions derived from wearable time series, blood biomarkers, and demographics, and is organized into 16 question types that distinguish data‑driven computation from physiological interpretation and single‑signal from cross‑signal reasoning. Evaluation of 14 large language models shows wide performance gaps, indicating that the benchmark remains challenging and useful for diagnosing model capabilities.
By Ji Soo Lee, Xilun Chen, Pierce Chuang, Ashish Shenoy, Jason Wei, Dohwan Ko, Hyunwoo J. Kim, Benoit Corda
The paper introduces a compact patient world model that forecasts digital health campaign outcomes by maintaining a latent state per patient and learning exposure‑conditioned dynamics. Evaluated on a large US campaign dataset, the model predicts new‑to‑brand prescription volume with low relative error (2.9% at week‑4 cutoff) compared to much higher errors from baseline classifiers. The study also shows that dense next‑exposure supervision is crucial for accurate forecasts when conversions are rare and highlights limitations in interpreting exposure‑conditioned rollouts causally.
By Yunlong Wang
arXiv:2607. 25340v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The same episode of atrial fibrillation is a minor finding in a healthy adult and grounds for anticoagulation in an elderly patient with hypertension: identical signal, opposite decision.
By Sukju Oh, Moo-Yong Rhee, Jae-Sik Jang, Sukkyu Sun
BALMS is a benchmark for evaluating large language model (LLM) agents that analyze longitudinal wearable data to predict mental‑health wellbeing scores and generate evidence‑grounded rationales. It covers three real‑world datasets, two task families (score prediction and rationale generation), and tests five LLM backbones across open‑ and closed‑source paradigms. The study finds that zero‑shot agents rarely beat a simple mean baseline, and while chain‑of‑thought prompting helps reasoning, it does not ensure temporal grounding or numerical accuracy.
By Yu Yvonne Wu, Arvind Pillai, Yuliang Chen, Yuwei Zhang, Sudarshan Regmi, Tess Z. Griffin, Michael V. Heinz, Lisa A. Marsch, Nicholas C. Jacobson, Andrew Campbell