arXiv AI By Behnam Moradi

The Athlete as a Scientist of One: Agentic Bayesian Experimental Design for Individualized Physiology from Consumer Wearables

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The paper introduces EpiCoach, an agentic system that treats a single athlete as the subject of accountable N‑of‑1 science. It uses a mechanistic digital twin—comprising a lagged heart‑rate model, a fitness‑fatigue model, and a latent skill state—to generate probabilistic predictions for future training sessions, which are logged in an evidence‑gated hypothesis registry. Over eighteen months, the system’s predictions were evaluated both retrospectively and prospectively, showing improved heart‑rate forecasting and a transparent, auditable loop for personalized training guidance.

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