arXiv AI By Kichang Lee, Jaeho Jin, JaeYeon Park, Songkuk Kim, JeongGil Ko

Temperature Scaling Attack Disrupting Model Confidence in Federated Learning

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The paper introduces the Temperature Scaling Attack (TSA), a training‑time method that degrades model confidence calibration while keeping predictive accuracy largely intact. TSA injects temperature scaling with a learning‑rate coupling during local federated training, shifting confidence scores and causing significant calibration errors (e.g., a 145% increase on CIFAR‑100) with less than a 2% drop in accuracy. The authors provide a convergence analysis for non‑IID settings and demonstrate TSA’s effectiveness across three benchmarks, robust aggregation, and post‑hoc calibration defenses, highlighting its impact on mission‑critical systems such as healthcare verification and autonomous driving.

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