Modeling the Structure of Human Behavior with AI Prompt Vectors
Read the original on arXiv AI →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv AI.
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The paper presents an AI-based method that uses a large language model to emulate human decision-making by assigning it a "type vector" describing traits such as Altruism and Risk Aversion. By varying these dimensions and values, the authors fit the model to over 119,000 decisions from 78,657 participants in 10 classic economic games, finding that three dimensions—Risk Aversion, Strategic Sophistication, and Trust—sufficiently capture human behavior. The resulting type clusters, fewer than a dozen, predict behavior in new games, suggesting a low-dimensional, portable representation of human behavior across diverse settings.
The paper presents an AI-based method that models human behavior by assigning a language model a vector of trait intensities—called a type vector—and asking it to predict actions in various settings. By adjusting traits such as Altruism, Risk Aversion, Fairness, and Trust, the authors fit the model to 119,147 decisions from 78,657 subjects across 35 countries and 10 economic games, finding that three dimensions (Risk Aversion, Strategic Sophistication, and Trust) closely match human choices. The resulting type vectors cluster into fewer than a dozen groups and can predict behavior in new games with different rules, demonstrating the method’s generalizability and interpretability.
arXiv:2511. 04500v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as decision-making agents in high-stakes domains and as imitators of human behavior in the social and behavioral sciences.
The paper introduces the Preference-Behavior Model (PBM), which jointly infers Large Language Model (LLM) preferences and imperfect decision-making mechanisms from observed choices. By applying PBM to three social dilemma games—Public Goods, Collective-Risk, and Common-Pool Resource—the authors show that preferences derived from one dilemma can predict behavior in others, whereas traditional behavioral economic elicitation instruments fail to do so consistently. The study also evaluates how well inferred preferences align with persona instructions, revealing both broad agreement and specific divergences across dimensions, LLMs, and games.
arXiv:2606. 17657v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: People make decisions differently in strategic interactions.
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