The study investigates how a single mastery threshold can produce divergent outcomes across different knowledge tracing (KT) models. By evaluating six KT models on four datasets with thresholds ranging from 0.50 to 0.99, the authors find that Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is relatively insensitive to threshold changes, whereas neural models become increasingly selective as thresholds rise. The optimal threshold varies widely across models and instructional settings, and stricter thresholds can disproportionately limit advancement for weaker students.
By Xianghui Meng, Yujing Zhang, Jionghao Lin
arXiv:2507. 08150v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling.
By Ilia Azizi, Juraj Bodik, Jakob Heiss, Bin Yu
The paper introduces XConf, an experiential confidence estimator that augments a language model’s current inference with a record of its past graded episodes. By recalling similar past tasks and reflecting on past outcomes, XConf generates confidence scores without accessing logits or updating weights, achieving superior discrimination and calibration across diverse benchmarks. The method demonstrates significant gains in selective prediction, improving success rates on agent tasks by up to 8.7 points.
By Caiqi Zhang, Xiaochen Zhu, Chengzu Li, Yulong Chen, Dharshan Kumaran, Nigel Collier
arXiv:2609.36734v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Knowledge Distillation (KD) trains a smaller-capacity student model to imitate a larger-capacity teacher model by matching output distributions, implic...
By Ayan Sengupta, Vaibhav Seth, Tanmoy Chakraborty
arXiv:2607. 28639v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We show that knowledge distillation in small instruction-tuned language models has asymmetric effects on bias.
By Plawan Kumar Rath
arXiv:2603. 02830v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Predicting future student responses to questions is particularly valuable for educational learning platforms where it enables effective interventions.
By Prarthana Bhattacharyya, Joshua Mitton, Ralph Abboud, Simon Woodhead