The paper introduces a behavior-guided online probabilistic forecasting framework for electric vehicle charging loads that captures both persistent station-specific patterns and recent behavioral changes through a dual-timescale representation. It employs semantic encoding of behavioral shifts to adapt forecasts in a drift-aware manner and uses a delayed-feedback mechanism to maintain temporal consistency across horizons. Experiments on ten real-world charging stations show consistent improvements over conventional models, reducing MSE and Pinball loss by up to 22.6% for 4‑hour ahead forecasts.
By Chenghan Li, Qingxiang Liu, Yinliang Xu, Yuxuan Liang
Electric vehicle (EV) charging loads exhibit strong behavioral heterogeneity and temporal variability, posing significant challenges for online probabilistic forecasting under evolving operating condi...
arXiv:2606. 27032v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Energy trading decisions depend not only on current market prices, but also on expected future market conditions, and operational constraints.
By Jesper Klicks, Sander Vr\v{z}ina, Vincent Fran\c{c}ois-Lavet
arXiv:2606. 31347v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The electrification of transportation through electric vehicles introduces new challenges for power grid management, such as increased peak demand, voltage fluctuations, line overloads, and the integration of variable renewable energy sources.
By Xavier Rate, Eloann Le Guern, Rapha\"el F\'eraud, Fatma Salem, Melissa Chiknoun, Eymeric Giabicani, Mehdi Feki, Patrick Maill\'e, Guy Camilleri, Anne Blavette, Hamid Benhamed
This study evaluates four control strategies—rule-based, model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning without forecasts (RL‑NF), and reinforcement learning with forecasts (RL‑F)—for a renewable‑powered hydrogen supply chain. Using a unified, physically realistic simulation that includes electrolyzer constraints, storage dynamics, and grid limits, the authors find that MPC delivers the best economic performance by leveraging short‑term forecasts, while RL‑NF performs robustly without future information. RL‑F does not consistently outperform RL‑NF, indicating that forecast uncertainty and added state complexity can hinder forecast‑augmented learning.
By Mahammad Valiyev
arXiv:2407. 21359v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Imagining potential outcomes of actions before execution helps agents make more informed decisions, a prospective thinking ability fundamental to human cognition.
By Liangliang Liu, Yi Guan, BoRan Wang, Rujia Shen, Yi Lin, Chaoran Kong, Lian Yan, Jingchi Jiang