arXiv:2501. 14291v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time.
arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
arXiv:2609.21382v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Operators of service-based systems act on forecasts of how a running execution will continue, and such a forecast is actionable only if its reliability...
arXiv:2306.11313v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Point process models are widely used for continuous-time discrete-event data, where each data point includes time and additional information...
arXiv:2607. 21098v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) provide a general and flexible framework for modeling sequences of events in continuous time.
The paper introduces a Unified Particle Filter LSTM (Unified PF‑LSTM) for data‑driven process simulation, which maintains a weighted set of recurrent‑state hypotheses to better capture latent process conditions from incomplete event logs. By summarizing this particle belief with a weighted mean and moment‑generating‑function features, the model predicts next‑activity probabilities and conditional sojourn‑time quantiles. Experiments on three real‑world emergency department datasets show that the framework consistently outperforms existing data‑driven baselines in reproducing routing, duration, and system‑level behavior, especially when process dynamics are only partially reflected in the logs.
arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.
arXiv:2602. 03564v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics.
arXiv:2607. 06652v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Rough path signatures are a universal feature map for continuous paths and, via the expected signature, characterise path distributions.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
arXiv:2310.04363v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Autoregressive large language models (LLMs) compress knowledge from their training data through next-token conditional distributions. This limits t...
arXiv:2606. 15868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Next activity prediction (NAP) is a cornerstone of predictive process monitoring (PPM), enabling organizations to move from retrospective analysis to proactive process steering.
arXiv:2607. 01022v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) model event data in continuous time and space, with applications in mobility, epidemiology, and public safety.