arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
By David Berghaus, Patrick Seifner, Kostadin Cvejoski, C\'esar Ojeda, Rams\'es J. S\'anchez
arXiv:2609.21382v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Operators of service-based systems act on forecasts of how a running execution will continue, and such a forecast is actionable only if its reliability...
By Jiaxin Yuan, Daniela Grigori, Han van der Aa
arXiv:2306.11313v5 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Point process models are widely used for continuous-time discrete-event data, where each data point includes time and additional information...
By Zheng Dong, Matthew Repasky, Xiuyuan Cheng, Yao Xie
arXiv:2607. 21098v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) provide a general and flexible framework for modeling sequences of events in continuous time.
By Michele Bellomo, Riccardo Ramaschi, Alberto Dolara, Tomaso Aste
The paper introduces a Unified Particle Filter LSTM (Unified PF‑LSTM) for data‑driven process simulation, which maintains a weighted set of recurrent‑state hypotheses to better capture latent process conditions from incomplete event logs. By summarizing this particle belief with a weighted mean and moment‑generating‑function features, the model predicts next‑activity probabilities and conditional sojourn‑time quantiles. Experiments on three real‑world emergency department datasets show that the framework consistently outperforms existing data‑driven baselines in reproducing routing, duration, and system‑level behavior, especially when process dynamics are only partially reflected in the logs.
By Parvin Malekzadeh, Opher Baron, Dmitry Krass
arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.
By Adrien Schoen, Nachiketa Ratnakar Patil, Arjun Bhagoji, Francesco Bronzino