arXiv:2606. 29925v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As deep learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes applications, providing well-calibrated uncertainty estimates has become as critical as achieving high predictive accuracy.
By Han Zhou, Teodora Popordanoska, Matthew Blaschko
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2608. 09768v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A prediction that is both confident and wrong is a critical reliability failure because it can bypass abstention and human review precisely when the model is mistaken.
By Ange-Cl\'ement Akazan, Ineza Remy Mugenga, Abebe Geletu, Jean Medard Ngnotchouye, Issa Karambal
arXiv:2606. 16214v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern deep learning models remain notoriously prone to overconfidence, limiting their reliability in high-stakes applications.
By Tobias Jan Wieczorek, Leon de Andrade, Thomas M\"ollenhoff, Marcus Rohrbach
arXiv:2605. 30188v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable probability estimates are critical in many machine learning applications, yet modern classifiers are often poorly calibrated.
By Eug\`ene Berta, David Holzm\"uller, Francis Bach, Michael I. Jordan
arXiv:2606. 28654v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep Neural Network (DNN) classifiers suffer from poor calibration when their softmax outputs (predictive confidence) deviate from the empirical likelihoods.
By Thiru Thillai Nadarasar Bahavan, Sachith Seneviratne, Saman Halgamuge