arXiv Machine Learning

A Two-Stage Forecasting System for CPU Workload Prediction in Private Clouds

A two-stage forecasting system is introduced for predicting CPU workload in private clouds. The model first forecasts customer service requests in Transactions Per Second (TPS) and then estimates future CPU usage from the TPS forecast, both stages using XGBoost within a cascaded architecture. Experiments on real private‑cloud traces show SMAPE below 7% for most applications, with the best case achieving an MAE of 0.7372 and an R² of 0.9185, and stable error accumulation over a 60‑step horizon.

arXiv AI
Aug 11

ScaleSense: Cost-Intelligent Scaling Framework via Learned Resource Estimation in Alibaba AnalyticDB

arXiv:2608. 07945v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Cloud-native serverless data warehouses achieve fine-grained elasticity by decoupling storage from compute, yet determining the optimal resource allocation for highly heterogeneous ad-hoc queries remains a formidable industrial challenge.

By Yifan Wu, Yuhan Li, Zhenhua Wang, Ke Chen, Lidan Shou, Zonghao Chen, Liang Lin, Huan Li, Gang Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Generalized Gibbs Ensemble Weighting for Forecast Combination

The paper introduces Generalized Gibbs Ensemble Weighting (GGEW), a probabilistic framework that assigns weights to forecasting models using a Gibbs-style exponential transformation of normalized predictive loss. GGEW extends basic weighting through numerical stabilization, diversity-aware score corrections, and online hyperparameter adaptation, yielding variants such as Stable Gibbs weighting, Directional Gibbs-NCL, and Symmetric Gibbs-NCL. The authors evaluate GGEW on M4 competition submissions and real-world datasets (Monash Traffic, Electricity, Solar), finding that Gibbs-style adaptive weighting is competitive across various settings, though performance varies by dataset, horizon, and deployment protocol.

By Prasen R. Nuthanakaluva, Nava K. Gaddam