The paper introduces a physics‑refined framework for spatiotemporal forecasting on open‑boundary hydrologic graphs, addressing instability caused by missing external boundary forcing. It learns ghost node proxies to approximate unobserved inputs and applies two physics refiners: one enforcing local consistency with two‑hop neighbors, and another using a physics‑guided graph neural operator to reduce long‑horizon drift. Experiments on two real‑world hydrologic graphs show improved prediction accuracy and stability compared to existing learning‑based and physics‑informed models.
By Haoyang Jiang, Zhengui Wang, Shenghan Gao, Y. Joseph Zhang, Xingquan Zhu, Yi He
arXiv:2606. 11162v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this work, we present COGENT, a continuous graph emulator with Neural Ordinary Differential Equations for long-term physical forecasting on irregular geospatial meshes.
By Zesheng Liu, Maryam Rahnemoonfar
arXiv:2607. 21421v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative models can support decision-making under uncertainty by producing ensembles of plausible future system trajectories, but statistical plausibility does not ensure structural feasibility.
By Michael Romei de Socio, Gian Luca Pozzato, Alessio Merlo
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2607. 21421v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Data-driven generative models can extend partially observed simulation trajectories into ensembles of alternative future scenarios.
By Michael Romei de Socio, Gian Luca Pozzato, Alessio Merlo
arXiv:2606. 27780v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: World models are often used for planning by rolling learned dynamics forward.
By Xinyuan Song, Zekun Cai