arXiv:2610.07232v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and efficient operation of modern power systems. While time series foundation...
By Tomas Kaljevic, Ivan Arzola, Yu Zhang
arXiv:2604. 22328v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operations.
By Marco Obermeier, Marco Pruckner, Florian Haselbeck, Andreas Zeiselmair
arXiv:2608. 20024v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: District heating energy hubs require reliable heat load forecasts for efficient operational scheduling.
By Ben Spoek, Karim K. Ben Hicham, Kai Derzsi, Philipp Althaus, Alexander Mitsos, Dirk M\"uller
arXiv:2608.20024v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: District heating energy hubs require reliable heat load forecasts for efficient operational scheduling. Forecasting models trained on historical da...
By Ben Spoek, Karim K. Ben Hicham, Kai Derzsi, Philipp Althaus, Alexander Mitsos, Dirk M\"uller
District heating energy hubs require reliable heat load forecasts for efficient operational scheduling. Conventional forecasting workflows train system-specific models on historical data, which can become burdensome when networks change through new consumers, retrofits, or changing operating regimes.
arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.
By Matthias Hertel, Sebastian P\"utz, Jonathan Kolar, Benjamin Sch\"afer, Ralf Mikut, Veit Hagenmeyer
arXiv:2411. 11350v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning models have shown strong performance in load forecasting, but they generally require large amounts of data for model training before being applied to new scenarios, which limits their effectiveness in data-scarce scenarios.
By Wenlong Liao, Chengrui Zhang, Zhe Yang, Mengshuo Jia, Christian Rehtanz, Jiannong Fang, Fernando Port\'e-Agel
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.
By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.
arXiv:2511. 09789v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term energy forecasting plays an important role in real-time operational decision-making, such as electricity market bidding and power system dispatch, where both numerical accuracy and correct directional signals are essential.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
arXiv:2606. 10798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pretrained time series foundation models (TSFMs) have enabled zero-shot forecasting on unseen target series.
By Yosuke Yamaguchi, Issei Suemitsu, Yuki Kajihara, Wenpeng Wei
arXiv:2606. 17692v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term electricity load forecasting is critical for the reliable and economic operation of modern power systems, under non-stationarity arising from weather variability, calendar effects, and evolving consumption patterns.
By Vansh Bansal