arXiv AI

Time Series Network Utilization KPI Forecasting Using Advanced AI/ML Models

arXiv:2607. 19974v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The rapid proliferation of data-intensive applications, cloud infrastructure, and IoT ecosystems has made proactive resource provisioning critical for maintaining optimal network performance.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.

By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

A Two-Stage Forecasting System for CPU Workload Prediction in Private Clouds

A two-stage forecasting system is introduced for predicting CPU workload in private clouds. The model first forecasts customer service requests in Transactions Per Second (TPS) and then estimates future CPU usage from the TPS forecast, both stages using XGBoost within a cascaded architecture. Experiments on real private‑cloud traces show SMAPE below 7% for most applications, with the best case achieving an MAE of 0.7372 and an R² of 0.9185, and stable error accumulation over a 60‑step horizon.

By Ashir Javeed, Anton Borg, H{\aa}kan Grahn, Lars Lundberg, Dhyey Patel, Sogand Shirinbab
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons