New York City implemented the nation's first cordon-based congestion pricing program in January 2025, providing an opportunity to evaluate how system-wide urban mobility responds to large-scale pricing interventions. Because such policies generate spillovers across modes and locations, credible control groups are difficult to construct.
The paper demonstrates that real‑time urban mobility patterns can be reconstructed from aggregated area‑level counts, without tracking individuals. Using a physics‑informed, uncertainty‑aware framework, the authors infer future origin‑destination flows across twelve datasets from the U.S. and China, achieving accuracy comparable to models that use historical OD matrices. Probabilistic modeling corrects underestimation of sparse corridors, and architectures that preserve spatial heterogeneity before reconstructing pairwise interactions yield more faithful interaction estimates.
By Yi Wang, Jing Li, Jinliang Deng, Zhenghong Wang, Yizhi Zhang, Fan Zhang, Ivor W. Tsang, Yu Liu
The paper introduces TransMod, a unified framework for forecasting urban mobility demand across multiple transportation modes. It creates a shared zone-level spatial representation to align systems with different spatial granularities, reducing structural mismatch and distributional shift. TransMod then learns transferable spatio-temporal patterns from data-rich source modes and adapts them to data-scarce target modes, improving forecasting performance when target data is limited.
By Yixuan Zhao, Man Luo
arXiv:2507. 00945v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term forecasting of aggregated human mobility flows supports urban planning, intelligent transportation systems, and emergency response, yet existing models often require substantial mobility history and learn spatial structure implicitly through grids or graphs.
By Massimiliano Luca, Ciro Beneduce, Bruno Lepri
arXiv:2607. 24336v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: City-scale autonomous vehicle fleet coordinators are typically optimized for aggregate travel time, yet fleet averages conceal how delay is distributed across trips and regions.
By Nicole Hu, Mingtao Zhang, Haoyang LI, Chen Jason Zhang, Li Qing
arXiv:2510. 06473v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding and modeling human mobility is central to challenges in transport planning, sustainable urban design, and public health.
By Ye Hong, Yatao Zhang, Konrad Schindler, Martin Raubal
arXiv:2606. 14157v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Cities deliver basic services through mixed public-private facility networks, including schools, clinics, transit providers, and subsidized service points.
By Paula Joy B. Martinez
UTP‑Bench is a new benchmark that evaluates large language models on uncertainty‑aware travel planning, incorporating real‑world data from 504 Indian cities and empirical delay and crowd patterns. It introduces three metrics—Buffer Adequacy Score, Crowd‑Aware Timing Score, and Transport Delay Absorption Score—to measure how well generated itineraries remain robust under stochastic conditions. Experiments show that current LLMs lag behind human planners in buffering, delay‑aware scheduling, and crowd sensitivity.
arXiv:2603.05581v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Urban traffic flow is governed by the complex, nonlinear interaction between land use configuration and spatiotemporally heterogeneous mobili...
By Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov
arXiv:2608. 00815v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The 15-minute city promotes access to everyday services within a short walk or bicycle ride, but its relationship with observed mobility remains difficult to quantify.
By Andr\'as J. Moln\'aar, Csaba I. Sidl\'o, Rita R\'onai, Domonkos R\'ozsay
arXiv:2606. 09086v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dynamic origin-destination (OD) flow generation seeks to synthesize realistic mobility dynamics from temporal context alone, without relying on historical OD observations.
By Jie Zhao, Xianqi Dai, Jie Feng, Huandong Wang, Yong Li
arXiv:2608. 11080v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Rail transit systems play a vital role in urban mobility and economic development.
By Shutong Zhu, Tianxing Wu, Runfeng Liu, Yuang Gu, Xuan He, Yuan Zhu