arXiv Machine Learning

Learning to Transfer Across Modes: Towards Unified Urban Mobility Forecasting

The paper introduces TransMod, a unified framework for forecasting urban mobility demand across multiple transportation modes. It creates a shared zone-level spatial representation to align systems with different spatial granularities, reducing structural mismatch and distributional shift. TransMod then learns transferable spatio-temporal patterns from data-rich source modes and adapts them to data-scarce target modes, improving forecasting performance when target data is limited.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 12

SeoulMMOD: A Large-Scale Multimodal Origin-Destination Flow Benchmark

SeoulMMOD is a new large‑scale public benchmark that provides three years of hourly origin‑destination flow data for six urban travel modes across 25 districts and 426 sub‑districts in Seoul, along with travel‑time, travel‑distance, calendar, rainfall, and point‑of‑interest signals. The dataset enables city‑wide multimodal mobility analysis and supports the evaluation of 14 forecasting baselines under a common protocol. The benchmark reveals that models effective at the district level may not scale to sub‑district forecasting and that naive joint multi‑mode training does not always improve accuracy.

By Taeyoung Yu, Seonbin Jo, Jiwon Kim, Junyoung Byun
arXiv AI
Sep 24

Learning Local Heterogeneity and Cross-Region Context for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting

The paper introduces LoReST, a Local-Region Spatial Temporal network designed for large-scale traffic forecasting. LoReST captures local spatial heterogeneity by relation-aware aggregation within node neighborhoods and incorporates cross-region context through mean pooling, inter-region attention, and broadcasting back to nodes. Experiments on the LargeST benchmark demonstrate significant improvements, reducing MAE, RMSE, and MAPE by 4.78%, 3.60%, and 5.75% respectively.

By Qi Feng, Zidong Wang, Bo Li, Xiaoguang Gao, Jiayu Zhang, Chenfeng Wang, Kaifang Wan
arXiv AI
Sep 18

FedeRICo: Federated Region-Influenced Coupling for Traffic Flow Prediction

FedeRICo is a federated traffic forecasting framework that addresses heterogeneity across client sensor subgraphs by combining gradient-level collaboration with boundary-aware residual communication. It uses a dual-branch architecture: a globally guided branch for transferable forecasting structure and a private residual branch that preserves client-specific corrections and incorporates boundary residual signals. Experiments on four real-world traffic benchmarks show that FedeRICo outperforms state‑of‑the‑art federated spatial‑temporal baselines while keeping training runtime competitive.

By Fermin Orozco, Man Luo, Johan Wahlstr\"om
arXiv AI
Sep 10

Synergistic Fusion of Topological Structure and Temporal Semantics of Mobility for Urban Region Embedding

The paper introduces Mobility Stream-Structure Synergy (MoSS), a method that fuses two complementary views of mobility data—an hourly inflow/outflow Sequence view and a Structure view derived from zigzag persistence diagrams—to capture temporal dynamics and evolving regional connectivity. MoSS employs a synergy module that extracts higher‑order representations from the co‑occurrence of these views, moving beyond additive fusion. Experiments on New York City and Chicago demonstrate that MoSS outperforms existing baselines on three downstream tasks using only mobility data.

By Namwoo Kim, Jeeyun Chang, Kanghoon Lee, Yoonjin Yoon
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Relative Transitions, Not Absolute Destinations: A Transfer-and-Ground Framework for Target-Trajectory-Free Human Mobility Generation

The paper introduces Nomad, a transfer-and-ground framework for generating human mobility trajectories without target-city trajectory data. It learns relative transitions from source cities using POI attributes and then grounds these transitions onto a target city’s POI map via a behavior graph and exploration–return walk. Experiments across ten cities show Nomad improves trajectory fidelity and downstream utility by roughly 15% and 3% respectively over adaptation baselines.

By Yidi Wang, Yunhe Zhang, Bangchao Deng, Dingqi Yang, Pengyang Wang
arXiv AI
Sep 15

STHMoE: Hypergraph-Enhanced Heterogeneous Dependency Coordination for LLM-Based Urban Traffic Data Forecasting

STHMoE is a Spatio‑Temporal Hypergraph‑Enhanced Mixture of Experts framework designed for urban traffic forecasting. It separates traffic dynamics into frequency‑, time‑, spatial‑, and higher‑order representations, each handled by a prompt‑guided expert built on a partially frozen large language model. The higher‑order expert uses an adaptive hypergraph module to learn evolving spatial structures, while an entropy‑aware router balances expert usage and fuses outputs, achieving competitive results on ten real‑world traffic benchmarks.

By Jiawen Chen, Qi Shao, Yongjian Chang, Mingtong Zhou, Duxin Chen, Wenwu Yu