arXiv Machine Learning

Quantifying Event Impacts on Time Series via Multiscale Contrastive Learning

arXiv:2608. 19447v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Shocks that spread through the web, such as cybersecurity breach disclosures, can abruptly disrupt financial time series and cause substantial abnormal losses.

arXiv Computation and Language
4d ago

DisCTI: Who Needs to Know Timely? Automated Sector-Aware Cyber Threat Intelligence Dissemination

The paper introduces DisCTI, a system that automatically maps cyber threat intelligence (CTI) events to relevant industry sectors using a multilabel classification approach. By creating a dataset of 872 sector‑labelled CTI events and applying a BERT transformer model, the authors achieve a macro‑averaged F1‑score of 0.89, correctly assigning 94.5% of sector labels. This demonstrates that embedding expert knowledge into machine learning can enable timely, sector‑aware CTI dissemination, improving defensive response.

By Fajar Wijitrisnanto (National Cyber and Crypto Agency, Jakarta, Indonesia), Alsharif Abuadbba (CSIRO, Sydney, Australia), Yansong Gao (CSIRO, Sydney, Australia, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia), Nan Wu (CSIRO, Sydney, Australia)
arXiv AI
Jun 9

RiskNet: A large-scale dataset of AI risk incidents from news with alignment and multi-dimensional annotations

arXiv:2606. 08376v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As artificial intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly deployed across socially consequential domains, reports of AI-related harms and failures have grown in frequency and diversity.

By Leihan Zhang, Wecheng Ye, Xianlong Ma, Haochuan Liu, Yang Li, Qianyu Zhang, Jinliang Chen, Qiang Yan
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Temporal Leakage in Financial News NLP: A Multi-Architecture Audit with a Regime-Specific M&A Signal

The paper audits the impact of temporal leakage on financial-news direction prediction across 49,799 articles and 16 feature-model combinations, including TF‑IDF, MiniLM, FinBERT, and fine‑tuned RoBERTa‑large / DeBERTa‑v3‑large, as well as zero/few‑shot and LoRA probes of Llama‑3 and Qwen2.5. Random train‑test splits inflate MCC scores by 1.1× to 6.5×, with larger models and richer features showing greater gains, while end‑to‑end FinBERT fine‑tuning actually increases the gap. Only the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) category shows a positive locked‑test signal under near‑temporal chronological evaluation, with the signal localized to 2024‑2025 European‑tilted M&A semantics and not transferring to a 2009‑2020 U.S. corpus.

By Chenhao Xue, Raslen Guesmi, Siwei Feng, Yucheng Gong, Jacob Xavier Sundram, Jordan Pang, Lan Wang, Julian Kaljuvee
arXiv AI
Jun 8

TSAQA: Time Series Analysis Question And Answering Benchmark

arXiv:2601. 23204v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are integral to critical applications across domains such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and environmental science.

By Baoyu Jing, Sanhorn Chen, Lecheng Zheng, Boyu Liu, Zihao Li, Jiaru Zou, Tianxin Wei, Zhining Liu, Zhichen Zeng, Ruizhong Qiu, Xiao Lin, Yuchen Yan, Dongqi Fu, Jingchao Ni, Jingrui He, Hanghang Tong
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Forecasting Trajectory-Level Safety Risks in Black-Box Multi-Turn Interactions

arXiv:2607. 26820v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As large language models (LLMs) evolve from standalone assistants into autonomous agents, ensuring their safety requires shifting beyond pointwise risk assessment to understand how risks emerge and unfold over long-horizon trajectories.

By Shi Lin, Peng Qian, Dinghao Liu, Renjie Sun, Sifan Wu, Dezhang Kong, Chenpei Wang, Xun Wang